Free football betting tips today
AC Milan vs Benfica
Benfica arrive on a seven-game winning run with 3+ goals in each of their last five. Milan have drawn 2-2 and 1-1 in their last two. Over 2.5 at 1.67.
- Every one of Benfica's last five games has had three or more goals
- Benfica have scored 15 and conceded 3 in those five, so they bring a real attack
- Milan have kept one clean sheet in four Serie A games and drew 2-2 last time
Tottenham vs Aston Villa
Spurs have gone four league games without a goal and Villa have managed one. Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 is too big for two of the league's bluntest attacks.
- Spurs are without a Premier League goal in four games this season
- Villa have scored once in four league games
- Spurs' four league games have produced five goals in total
Deportivo vs Real Betis
Unbeaten Deportivo host a Betis side whose four league wins all came by one goal. Deportivo +0.5 wins on a home win or a draw, at 1.51.
- Deportivo are unbeaten in La Liga: two wins, three draws
- All four Betis league wins were by one goal, with a +1 goal difference
- Betis lost 5-2 at Levante and played on Monday night at Villarreal
Latest tips by market
AC Milan vs Benfica
Benfica arrive on a seven-game winning run with 3+ goals in each of their last five. Milan have drawn 2-2 and 1-1 in their last two. Over 2.5 at 1.67.
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar
Sunderland have one win in four Premier League games and scored three goals. AZ are W5 D1 in the Eredivisie with 17 scored. Draw or AZ at 2.38 is a value play.
AC Milan vs Benfica
Pavlidis has 20 shots on target in his last ten starts (2.4 per 90), takes Benfica's penalties and started every game. Over 1.5 at 3.20 implies 31%; I make it about 40%.
AC Milan vs Benfica
Gillett averaged 3.6 yellows a game across 22 Premier League matches last season and 3.5 this term. Milan foul 10.5 times a game, the lowest count of any side I looked at this week. Milan under 2.5 cards at 1.45.
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth
Real Sociedad have conceded 11 in six La Liga games with one clean sheet. Bournemouth have scored in all of their last five, with BTTS landing in four. BTTS at 1.62.
Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth
Referee first: Raczkowski averaged 4.97 yellows a game across 34 matches last season and 4.0 across eight this term. Bournemouth are on 3.3 yellows a game, La Real 2.2. Over 4.5 at 2.07 is the value line.
Celtic vs Ferencváros
Kolarić has averaged 4.3 yellows a game this season and 4.6 last, with a floor of three in every 2026/27 match. Ferencváros commit 17.2 fouls a game. Over 3.5 cards at 1.53 covers his normal night.
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
Bayern average 9.5 corners across their last four home league games and Union concede 7.8 a game away. Over 6.5 Bayern corners at 1.80 is priced below both figures.
Brentford vs Chelsea
Chelsea score freely and defend badly, and unbeaten Brentford have scored in every league game. Both teams to score at 1.40 is short, but fair value.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa
Spurs have gone four league games without a goal and Villa have managed one. Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 is too big for two of the league's bluntest attacks.
Millwall vs West Ham
West Ham top the Championship after four straight league wins and 17 goals. Millwall have let in 11 in their last four league games. The away win at 1.77 is fair value.
Brighton vs Arsenal
Saka has nine shots on target in his last five starts (2.0 per 90), takes Arsenal's penalties and was rested for Tuesday's cup game. bet365's 2/1 implies 33%; I have him nearer 42%.
Athletic Club vs Alavés
Athletic win 7.6 corners a game at home and Alavés concede 6.3 away; both sides cross the ball 19 to 21 times a match. Four of the last five meetings cleared 9.5 corners.
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City
Coventry have no points, no goals and a midweek cup tie, and Awoniyi was sent off last time out. Forest -1 at 2.05 pays on a two-goal win and refunds a one-goal win.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund have won five straight, conceding 4, while Stuttgart have lost two of three league games. Dortmund +0.5 wins on an away win or a draw, at 1.57.
Sevilla vs Barcelona
Barcelona average more than four goals a game in their own matches and this fixture has gone over 3.5 in four of the last five. Over 3.5 at 1.86.
Manchester City vs Sunderland
Haaland has 13 shots on target in his last five starts (2.6 per 90) and has hit three or more in four of his last ten. Over 2.5 at 3.00 implies 33%; I make it a little better than that, so half a unit.
Juventus vs Atalanta
Three of Juventus's four league games stayed under 2.5 and Atalanta have scored 5 in four. Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 is a small-stakes play.
Deportivo vs Real Betis
Unbeaten Deportivo host a Betis side whose four league wins all came by one goal. Deportivo +0.5 wins on a home win or a draw, at 1.51.