VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Tips: Handicap

Is the favourite the right side?

Dortmund have won all three Bundesliga games (2-0 against Hamburg, 3-2 at Hoffenheim, 3-0 against Paderborn) and sit second on 9 points with 8 goals scored and 2 conceded. Add a 5-0 cup win and a 3-2 Champions League win over Villarreal, and it is five straight wins, 16 scored, 4 conceded.

Stuttgart have been up and down. They lost 5-1 at Bayern and 2-1 at Hoffenheim, and they beat Cologne 4-1. That leaves them 14th on 3 points, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their home form is better. They also beat Viking 3-1 in the Champions League, so they will be dangerous here.

The market still makes Stuttgart favourites, at 2.20 to win on the -0.5 line. We think that gives too much weight to their home record and not enough to Dortmund's run. Dortmund also won 2-0 at this ground in April. Dortmund +0.5 at 1.57 wins if they avoid defeat.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Dortmund winning run (all comps)5
• Dortmund goals conceded (last 5)4
• Stuttgart Bundesliga points3 from 3
• Dortmund's last visit to StuttgartWon 2-0 (Apr 2026)
• Dortmund +0.5 implied probability63.7%

Team news

We had not found a confirmed injury or suspension list from either club or a major outlet at the time of writing on Tuesday evening. Check the official line-ups, due about an hour before kick-off, before betting.

Verdict

Dortmund +0.5 at 1.57 implies a 63.7% chance. We make a Dortmund win or a draw about 67%. 1 unit.