Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Romania Prediction and Tips: Match Result

Bosnia chase the group top spot, Romania chase anything at all

Sweden have already made certain of top spot in Group B4 on 10 points, but Bosnia-Herzegovina, two points back on 8 and unbeaten through four games, still have something to play for if results elsewhere go their way. Romania, by contrast, have nothing left: four games, four defeats, no points, and the division's worst defence by a distance.

Romania have conceded 13 goals in four games, with the low point a 6-0 home defeat to Poland on 2 October. They've also already lost this campaign's meeting with tonight's opponents, beaten 4-2 away in Romania back in September. Bosnia-Herzegovina haven't lost at all: a 0-0 away at Poland, that 4-2 win in Romania, a 1-1 home draw with Sweden, and a 1-0 home win over Poland last time out.

The market has Bosnia-Herzegovina around 1.73 to win outright in Zenica, with the draw at 3.70 and Romania a distant 4.60. Romania haven't taken a point off anyone in this group, including this opponent, and arrive with a defence that has conceded in every game they've played. Bosnia-Herzegovina to win at 1.73.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Bosnia-Herzegovina record (Group B4)2W 2D 0L
• Romania record (Group B4)0W 0D 4L
• Romania goals conceded13 in 4 games
• Bosnia-Herzegovina goals conceded3 in 4 games
• First meeting this campaignRomania 2-4 Bosnia-Herzegovina, 28 Sep

Team news

No confirmed injury or suspension news for either squad as of Saturday evening; Romania have already used this window to experiment with their line-up after a heavy defeat, so treat the starting XI as provisional until it's out.

Verdict

Bosnia-Herzegovina at 1.73 implies a 57.8% chance of victory. Given Romania have lost all four Group B4 games, including the first meeting with this opponent, and have conceded 13 goals along the way, that looks like underpricing Bosnia's chances of a third win.