Denmark vs Norway Prediction and Tips: Players
Hannah Weir looks at the player shots market in Copenhagen, where Group A4's standout attacker gets another look at an opponent he has already punished once this campaign.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Erling Haaland's shot volume, and a repeat fixture he has already enjoyed
Norway go to Copenhagen for their fifth Group A4 game in a campaign that has mostly gone against them (one win from four, bottom of the group), but Erling Haaland's own output has stayed strong regardless of the team result. Across Norway's four Group A4 matches this campaign he has managed 18 shots and 9 of them on target - an average of 2.25 shots on target a game - with 3 goals in that spread.
The most relevant of those four games is the only other one against this opponent: Norway beat Denmark 3-2 in Oslo on 24 September, with Haaland scoring twice from 5 shots, 4 of them on target. He has been reported in Norway's squad for this window alongside Alexander Sørloth and Martin Ødegaard, with coach Ståle Solbakken said to be managing his minutes for workload reasons - he was substituted at 67 minutes in the defeat to Portugal - rather than any injury concern.
Kambi have Haaland's shots-on-target line at 1.5, priced at 1.74 on the over - inside Hannah's usual working range for this market, and well supported by both his campaign average and his record against this specific opponent.
Erling Haaland over 1.5 shots on target at 1.74, 0.75 units.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Haaland shots on target per game, Group A4 (4 games)2.25
- Haaland shots per game, Group A4 (4 games)4.5
- Haaland goals, Group A4 (4 games)3
- First meeting, 24 Sep (Oslo)Norway 3-2 Denmark, Haaland scored twice (4 SOT from 5 shots)
Team news
Haaland has been named in Norway's squad for this window alongside Alexander Sørloth and Martin Ødegaard. His manager has flagged workload management rather than injury after his early substitution against Portugal on 4 October - worth a late fitness check, but nothing currently points to him missing out.
If Solbakken manages his minutes again and brings him off early, his shot count could fall short even if Norway create chances - his lowest shot game this campaign (2 shots, away at Wales) came in a defeat where Norway barely got going. A defensive Denmark approach, sitting deep to protect a home point, could also limit his service.
Verdict
Haaland has averaged 2.25 shots on target a game across Group A4 this campaign, and produced 4 of them - plus two goals - in the only previous meeting with this Denmark side in September. The price of 1.74 sits well inside the range his volume has supported all campaign.
Erling Haaland over 1.5 shots on target at 1.74, 0.75 units.
Bets players, not teams: anytime scorer, shots on target, assists and other props. Works from minutes, shot volume and set-piece duties, and passes on any player who is not a confirmed starter.
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