Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest Prediction and Tips: Double Chance

Forest's away form against Ipswich's home record

Nottingham Forest are 19th in the Premier League on five points from seven games, and their away record explains why they're down there: in their last four league games on the road they have one win (2-1 at Aston Villa), one draw (2-2 at Liverpool) and two losses (1-0 at Leeds, 1-3 at Crystal Palace), scoring five goals and conceding seven across those four matches. Ipswich Town sit 10th on nine points and have been much the better side at home than away this season - two wins from their last three at Portman Road, beating Fulham 2-1 and Sunderland 2-1, with their only home defeat in that stretch a 0-2 loss to Liverpool.

Our own prices before looking at the market: Ipswich to win around 35%, the draw around 28%, Forest to win around 37% - close to a pick in isolation, but combined into a double chance that gives Ipswich-or-draw a clear majority on our numbers. It's also worth noting that Forest's one away win and one away draw in that sample came against Aston Villa and Liverpool, both stronger sides than Ipswich on paper, which is probably why the bookmakers haven't written Forest off here.

The market disagrees with us on the outright result: Forest are priced at 2.25 to win this, shorter than Ipswich's 3.10, which tells us the odds are leaning on squad quality more than this season's form table and league position. We have not found confirmed team news for either side two days out from kick-off, so nothing here accounts for a specific injury or suspension, and we have not dug into head-to-head meetings between these two clubs since neither side's current squad played in the fixtures from a season or two back.

Even allowing for the market's view that Forest are the better side on paper, the double chance line still looks generous from where we sit. At 1.63, Ipswich Town or draw implies a 61.3% chance; our form-based estimate puts it nearer 66-68%, enough of a gap to back. The pick is Ipswich Town or draw at 1.63, one unit.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Nottingham Forest Premier League position19th, 5 pts from 7
• Forest last 4 away league games1W-1D-2L, 5 goals scored, 7 conceded
• Ipswich Town home record (last 3)2W-1L, 4 goals scored, 3 conceded
• Market price on Forest to win outright2.25

Team news

We have not found confirmed team news for either side two days out from kick-off. No reported injury or suspension changes the picture below for either team, but neither starting eleven is confirmed yet.

Verdict

Ipswich Town or draw at 1.63 implies a 61.3% chance. Our own price, built from Ipswich's 2-1 home record this season and Forest's away form (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses in their last 4, scoring only 5 goals in that run), comes out nearer 66-68% - a gap worth taking even though the market still rates Forest the stronger side outright. Stake: 1 unit.