ResultScottish Premiership · Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh · Wed 28 Oct, 20:00

Hearts vs Rangers Prediction and Tips: Result

Callum Reid prices up Tynecastle before kick-off, weighing Rangers' five wins in six against Hearts' alarming recent home numbers in the result market.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

Rangers' form against Hearts' leaky defence

Rangers go to Tynecastle 2nd in the Scottish Premiership on 23 points from ten games (7W-2D-1L), with the division's second-best defensive record (7 goals conceded). Hearts are 3rd on 16 points (5W-1D-3L), but have had a rougher few weeks than the table alone suggests.

Rangers' last six league games read: wins over Motherwell (1-0) and St Mirren (1-0), a 1-0 win away at Celtic, a 3-1 win over Kilmarnock, a 2-2 draw away at Dundee, and a 4-0 win over St Johnstone last weekend — five wins and a draw, with the win at Celtic Park the standout result.

Hearts' run has been choppier: a win away at Hibernian, a win over Dundee, a 2-1 defeat away at Falkirk, a 1-1 draw at Kilmarnock, a 5-0 win over St Mirren, then a 1-7 home defeat to Celtic on 18 October — one of their heaviest home losses in years. We could not confirm team news for either side; Hearts' recent European commitments (Conference League qualifying, a trip to Trabzonspor) may be a contributing factor to the dip, but that's context rather than a confirmed explanation.

Price it before you look at form: at 1.98, the market makes this close to a coin-flip once the draw is taken out of the equation. Given Rangers' superior defensive record and their recent win at Celtic Park against Hearts' heavier recent home defeat, backing them not to lose at Tynecastle looks the sharper side of that coin-flip. The pick: Rangers draw no bet.

Form guide

RangersLast 6 · Scottish Premiership
WWWWDW
HeartsLast 6 · Scottish Premiership
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Key numbers

  • Rangers Scottish Premiership position2nd, 23 pts (7W-2D-1L)
  • Rangers goals conceded this season7 in 10 league games
  • Hearts Scottish Premiership position3rd, 16 pts (5W-1D-3L)
  • Hearts' heaviest recent defeat1-7 home to Celtic, 18 Oct

Team news

We found no confirmed team news or injury list for either side three days out. Hearts have had a heavy recent workload with European football, which may be a factor in their dip in form, but we can't confirm that and treat it as context rather than a certainty.

The risk

Edinburgh ties against the Old Firm clubs tend to be tighter and more combative than league position suggests, and Rangers have drawn one of their last six league games, so the draw-no-bet refund scenario isn't negligible.

Verdict

At 1.98, Rangers draw no bet implies a win probability (discounting the draw) of around 50.5%. Rangers are 2nd in the Scottish Premiership on 23 points, with five wins and a draw in their last six league games including a 1-0 win away at Celtic. Hearts, by contrast, have won two of their last six, losing away at Falkirk and then being beaten 7-1 at home by Celtic on 18 October. Hearts are not a bad side, but the gap in current form is wide enough, and Rangers' recent record against the bigger Scottish sides strong enough, to back them not to lose at Tynecastle.

Our prediction · Draw no betHearts vs Rangers · Wed 20:00 · by Callum Reid
Rangers draw no bet
Best odds1.98
Stake0.75 units
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 25 Oct, 13:25 UK (Kambi/Unibet).
Sources
Hearts vs Rangers · Wed 20:00
Rangers draw no bet @ 1.98
Odds checked 25 Oct, 13:25 UK (Kambi/Unibet).
Result tipsScottish PremiershipRangersHeartsDraw no bet
Callum Reid
Match result & handicap specialist · 60% win rate · +0.8 units

Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.

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