Deportivo vs Real Betis: Deportivo +0.5 at 1.51
Deportivo are unbeaten in La Liga and have drawn three of five. Betis are third, but every league win has been by a single goal. Take the home side with the draw on our side.
The case for Deportivo
Deportivo have not lost in La Liga. Five games, two wins, three draws, 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. They beat Valencia 3-1 at home and won 3-2 at Villarreal. Their other three games were all 1-1. A side that draws this often is exactly the kind you want on a +0.5 line.
Betis are third on 12 points, but the table flatters them. Their goal difference is only +1: 7 scored, 6 conceded. All four league wins have come by one goal, including 1-0 against Real Madrid and 2-1 at Villarreal. The one defeat was a 5-2 loss at Levante. They also went to Lille in the Champions League last week, and they played at Villarreal on Monday night.
The market has Betis as slight favourites at 2.50, with Deportivo at 2.80 and the draw at 3.30. We don't think the away side is better than a coin flip to win here. Deportivo +0.5 covers the draw, and that has been the most common result in their games.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Deportivo league recordW2 D3 L0
- Betis league wins by one goal4 of 4
- Betis league goal difference+1
- Deportivo league goals scored9 in 5
- Deportivo +0.5 implied probability66.2%
Team news
We had not found a confirmed injury or suspension list from either club or a major outlet at the time of writing on Tuesday evening. Check the official line-ups, due about an hour before kick-off, before betting.
Betis keep finding ways to win tight games: they beat Real Madrid and won at Villarreal. They are a Champions League side with the stronger squad on paper, and one Betis goal may be enough.
Verdict
Deportivo +0.5 at 1.51 implies a 66.2% chance. We make a Deportivo win or a draw about 70%. 1 unit.