ResultLa Liga · Riazor, A Coruña · Sun 20 Sep, 17:30

Deportivo vs Real Betis Prediction and Tips: Handicap

Callum Reid looks at Deportivo's unbeaten start, Betis' run of narrow wins and the handicap lines at Riazor to find the side of the market with value.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓
WonFinal score 1-1 · Settled at 1.51 for +0.51 units. FT Deportivo 1-1 Real Betis. Deportivo +0.5: margin +0.

Unbeaten hosts, narrow wins for the visitors

Deportivo have not lost in La Liga. Five games, two wins, three draws, 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. They beat Valencia 3-1 at home and won 3-2 at Villarreal. Their other three games were all 1-1. A side that draws this often is exactly the kind you want on a +0.5 line.

Betis are third on 12 points, but the table flatters them. Their goal difference is only +1: 7 scored, 6 conceded. All four league wins have come by one goal, including 1-0 against Real Madrid and 2-1 at Villarreal. The one defeat was a 5-2 loss at Levante. They also went to Lille in the Champions League last week, and they played at Villarreal on Monday night.

The market has Betis as slight favourites at 2.50, with Deportivo at 2.80 and the draw at 3.30. We don't think the away side is better than a coin flip to win here. Deportivo +0.5 covers the draw, and that has been the most common result in their games.

Riazor, A Coruña
Riazor stadium in A Coruña, home of Deportivo.Photo: Bene Riobó / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Form guide

DeportivoLast 5 · league
DDWWD
Scored 9, conceded 6.
Real BetisLast 5 · league
WWLWW
Scored 7, conceded 6.

Key numbers

  • Deportivo league recordW2 D3 L0
  • Betis league wins by one goal4 of 4
  • Betis league goal difference+1
  • Deportivo league goals scored9 in 5
  • Deportivo +0.5 implied probability66.2%

Team news

We had not found a confirmed injury or suspension list from either club or a major outlet at the time of writing on Tuesday evening. Check the official line-ups, due about an hour before kick-off, before betting.

The risk

Betis keep finding ways to win tight games: they beat Real Madrid and won at Villarreal. They are a Champions League side with the stronger squad on paper, and one Betis goal may be enough.

Verdict

Deportivo +0.5 at 1.51 implies a 66.2% chance. We make a Deportivo win or a draw about 70%. 1 unit.

Our prediction · Asian handicapDeportivo vs Real Betis · Sun 17:30 · by Callum Reid
Deportivo +0.5
Best odds1.51
Stake1 unit
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 15 Sep, 18:55 UK (DraftKings, via ESPN). Prices move.
Deportivo vs Real Betis · Sun 17:30
Deportivo +0.5 @ 1.51
Odds checked 15 Sep, 18:55 UK (DraftKings, via ESPN). Prices move.
Result tipsLa LigaDeportivoReal BetisAsian handicap
Callum Reid
Match result & handicap specialist · 65% win rate · +2.3 units

Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.

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