Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction and Tips: Goals

Chelsea's scoring run vs Tottenham's blunt attack

Chelsea's visitors on Saturday are rock bottom of the Premier League. Tottenham have taken 3 points from six games, scored just 3 goals in that time and have not won since the opening weeks of the season. Chelsea, by contrast, sit 4th with 13 points and a scoring record that has barely dipped all season.

The shot numbers back up Chelsea's attacking threat. Across their last three league games they have put up 12, 10 and 18 shots, with shots on target rising each time - 2, then 6, then 7 in the 2-0 win at Everton. More tellingly, Chelsea have scored at least two goals in every single one of their last seven Premier League matches: 3, 4, 2, 2, 3, 5 and 2.

Tottenham's away form offers little resistance to that kind of volume. They have lost 3 of their last 6 league games and been held scoreless in two of them, but a lack of goals for Tottenham does not mean a lack of goals against them - they have conceded 9 in those six matches, an average of 1.5 a game.

Chelsea's own defence is not watertight (13 conceded in 7 games), so this is not a bet on a Chelsea shutout, just on their attack doing what it has done in every match so far this season. The tip is Chelsea over 1.5 goals at 1.38.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Chelsea Premier League goals, last 7 games17 (2.4 per game)
• Chelsea has scored 2+ goals in each of its last 7 league games7 of 7
• Chelsea shots / shots on target, last 3 league games12 (2 SOT), 10 (6 SOT), 18 (7 SOT)
• Tottenham Hotspur Premier League record0W-3D-3L, 3pts, 20th (bottom)
• Tottenham Hotspur goals scored, 6 league games3 (0.5 per game)

Team news

No confirmed line-ups or injury news from either club five days out. Tottenham's miserable scoring record is a team-wide issue this season rather than tied to one absence we have seen reported.

Verdict

Chelsea over 1.5 goals at 1.38 implies a 72.5% chance. Chelsea have scored at least two goals in every one of their last seven Premier League matches, and their shot numbers have been climbing - 18 shots and 7 on target in the win at Everton most recently. Tottenham sit bottom of the table with just 3 goals scored all season and have not shown they can keep a side like Chelsea quiet, home or away.