West Ham vs Southampton Prediction and Tips: Result
Callum Reid looks at West Ham's unbeaten run and the gap in form at the top of the Championship table ahead of their game with Southampton.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓West Ham's form and the table gap
A two-place table gap with form to match
West Ham sit second in the Championship with 22 points and a goal difference of +18; Southampton are eighth on 17 points with a goal difference of +11. On paper it's a five-point, six-place gap. On recent form, it looks wider.
West Ham's last five league games have gone 6-0 at home over Wrexham, 2-2 away at Millwall, 1-1 at home with Queens Park Rangers, 6-0 away at Lincoln City and 1-0 away at Swansea City — sixteen scored, three conceded, unbeaten in all five (three wins, two draws). Southampton's last five have gone 4-1 at home over Bristol City, 1-2 away at Wrexham, 1-0 at home over Portsmouth, 1-0 away at Norwich City and 0-0 at home with Bolton Wanderers — seven scored, three conceded, with one defeat in the run.
Both sides defend reasonably well — three goals conceded each in five games — but West Ham are scoring more than twice as often, and they are doing it at home as often as away.
Form guide
Key numbers
- West Ham points (Championship)22 (2nd)
- Southampton points (Championship)17 (8th)
- West Ham goal difference+18
- Southampton goal difference+11
- West Ham record, last 5 league games3W 2D 0L
- Southampton record, last 5 league games3W 1D 1L
Team news
No confirmed team news or starting line-ups are available for either side this far from kick-off; we have not found a specific injury list for either club in the time available this run.
Southampton have only lost once in their last five and kept a clean sheet most recently against Bolton, so a tighter game or an away point is a real alternative outcome if West Ham's recent scoring rate dries up.
Verdict
West Ham at 1.66 implies a 60.2% chance of victory. Second in the table, unbeaten in five, and outscoring Southampton 16-3 to Southampton's 7-3 over the same stretch is a bigger gap than the price suggests, even allowing for Southampton's own one-defeat-in-five record. The pick is West Ham to win at 1.66.
Form guide
Key numbers
- West Ham points (Championship)22 (2nd)
- Southampton points (Championship)17 (8th)
- West Ham goal difference+18
- Southampton goal difference+11
- West Ham record, last 5 league games3W 2D 0L
- Southampton record, last 5 league games3W 1D 1L
Team news
No confirmed team news or starting line-ups are available for either side this far from kick-off; we have not found a specific injury list for either club in the time available this run.
Southampton have only lost once in their last five and kept a clean sheet most recently against Bolton, so a tighter game or an away point is a real alternative outcome if West Ham's recent scoring rate dries up.
Verdict
West Ham at 1.66 implies a 60.2% chance of victory. Second in the table, unbeaten in five, and outscoring Southampton 16-3 to Southampton's 7-3 over the same stretch is a bigger gap than the price suggests, even allowing for Southampton's own one-defeat-in-five record. The pick is West Ham to win at 1.66.
Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.
More predictions
Arsenal vs Everton
Cagliari vs Bologna
