ResultNations League · Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Prishtina · Sat 14 Nov, 14:00

Kosovo vs Israel Prediction and Tips: Result

Callum Reid looks at the result markets as Kosovo host a Group B3 side still without a win this campaign.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

One side unbeaten at home, the other still looking for a first win

Kosovo and Israel have already met once this Group B3 cycle, on 1 October in Israel, where the game finished 0-0. Since then Kosovo have drawn 1-1 at home with group leaders Austria, having also lost 1-3 away at Austria and won 1-0 at home against Republic of Ireland. Israel, meanwhile, were held 1-1 away at Republic of Ireland in their most recent game, having lost their other two completed group matches.

Kosovo sit second in Group B3 with five points from four games. Israel are bottom with two, still without a win anywhere in the group: two defeats either side of a pair of draws, including that 0-0 with Kosovo themselves. Israel have scored only twice in four games and conceded seven, the worst goal difference in the group.

Kosovo have not lost at home this cycle - beating Republic of Ireland 1-0 and drawing 1-1 with Austria at the Fadil Vokrri Stadium in Prishtina. We could not confirm starting line-ups four days out, and found no reported injury news for either squad, so this is based on the table and results so far rather than team news.

Kosovo's unbeaten home record against a side that has not won anywhere in the group all autumn is the case for backing Kosovo to win.

Form guide

KosovoLast 4 · Nations League Group B3
WLDD
Beat Republic of Ireland 1-0 at home, lost 1-3 away at Austria, drew 0-0 away at Israel, then drew 1-1 at home with Austria
IsraelLast 4 · Nations League Group B3
LLDD
Lost 1-3 away at Austria and 0-3 at home to Republic of Ireland, then draws either side - 0-0 at home with Kosovo and 1-1 away at Republic of Ireland - still without a win in the group

Key numbers

  • Kosovo Group B3 position2nd of 4, 5 pts
  • Israel Group B3 position4th of 4 (bottom), 2 pts
  • Israel goals scored / conceded, Group B3 (4 games)2 / 7
  • Kosovo home record this cycleW1 D1, unbeaten
  • First meeting, 1 Oct (in Israel)0-0 draw

Team news

No confirmed team news or line-ups were available for either side this far from kick-off. Nothing in the public record points to a significant absence for either squad - we'll flag anything that changes closer to the weekend.

The risk

Israel's results against Kosovo and Republic of Ireland since their heavy opening defeats show they have tightened up defensively even without winning, and the first meeting with Kosovo was goalless. A repeat low-scoring draw is the main way this loses - Kosovo have already had that result with this opponent once.

Verdict

Kosovo to win is priced at 1.93 by Kambi/Unibet UK, an implied 51.8% chance. Kosovo are unbeaten at home this cycle and face a side that has not won a single game, home or away, in the group, with the worst goal difference in Group B3. That combination of home advantage and the gap in results to date supports a Kosovo win at a price we think slightly undersells it.

Our prediction · Match resultKosovo vs Israel · Sat 14:00 · by Callum Reid
Kosovo to win
Best odds1.93
Stake1 unit
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 9 Nov, 20:30 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Sources
Kosovo vs Israel · Sat 14:00
Kosovo to win @ 1.93
Odds checked 9 Nov, 20:30 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Result tipsNations LeagueKosovoIsraelMatch result
Callum Reid
Match result & handicap specialist · 59% win rate · +0.5 units

Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.

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