Sevilla vs Barcelona Prediction and Tips: Goals

Barcelona's goals and the recent meetings

Barcelona are five from five in La Liga with 21 goals scored and 4 conceded. The recent scores tell the story: 2-0 against Athletic Club, 5-2 against Rayo Vallecano, 5-0 at Valencia and 4-2 at Levante. Four of their five league matches have produced four goals or more. They also beat Feyenoord 5-1 in the Champions League.

Sevilla are not a side who shut games down. They sit sixth on 10 points, but they have conceded 4 goals in three home league games, including a 3-1 home defeat by Atlético Madrid. When a team with this much firepower visits a home side that likes to play, the game tends to open up.

History points the same way. The last five meetings finished 5-2, 4-1, 1-4, 5-1 and 1-2. Four of those five had four goals or more, and two of them were played in Seville. At 1.86 the market gives over 3.5 a 53.8% chance. We think it is slightly higher than that.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Barcelona league goals (5 games)21
• 4+ goals in Barcelona league games4 of 5
• 4+ goals in last 5 meetings4 of 5
• Sevilla home league goals conceded4 in 3
• Over 3.5 implied probability53.8%

Team news

We had not found a confirmed injury or suspension list from either club or a major outlet at the time of writing on Tuesday evening. Check the official line-ups, due about an hour before kick-off, before betting.

Verdict

Over 3.5 goals at 1.86 implies a 53.8% chance. We make it about 57% on Barcelona's scoring rate and the recent meetings. A small edge, so 1 unit.