Germany vs Netherlands Prediction and Tips: Corners
Nadia Ferreira checks the corner count in Berlin as Group A2 wraps up between the group's two most productive sides from the flanks.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Two of Group A2's busiest wide games meet in Berlin
Germany and Netherlands close out Group A2 in Berlin, with the Dutch having already topped the group (11 points from five games) and Germany needing a big result to have any late say in it. Both sides have been among the better corner-generators in this group this campaign: Germany have won an average of 6.0 corners a game across their five matches, while the Netherlands have averaged 7.0.
The reverse fixture in September, played in Amsterdam, produced 13 corners in total (Netherlands 12, Germany 1) - at the extreme end, but a reminder of how one-sided this fixture can get when the Dutch wide play clicks. Across the rest of the group phase, Germany's matches have run from 5 to 13 total corners and the Netherlands' from 7 to 14; both numbers sit on the higher side of this group's output.
Kambi have the total corners line at 9.5, priced at 1.85 on the over. With both sides' corner counts for and against this campaign averaging out to a combined expectation around 10, and neither producing a genuinely low-corner match in this group all season, the over looks the better side of a fair-ish line.
Over 9.5 corners at 1.85, 0.75 units.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Germany corners won per game, Group A2 (5 games)6.0
- Netherlands corners won per game, Group A2 (5 games)7.0
- First meeting, 24 Sep (Amsterdam)Netherlands 12 corners, Germany 1 corner
- Group A2 state (before this round)Netherlands 11 pts, Greece 8 pts, Germany 8 pts, Serbia 0 pts
Team news
No confirmed line-ups three days out. Both sides have generally started their first-choice wide players through the group phase; worth a late check given how much a corners tip depends on wingers and overlapping full-backs actually playing.
No first-choice wide-player absences have been reported, but this is unconfirmed three days out - a change at full-back or on the wing for either side would move the corner count more than most other injuries would. This is also the final round of the group, and a Netherlands side already safe at the top could ease off if the game gets away from them, cutting their own corner count.
Verdict
Germany have won corners at 6.0 a game and the Netherlands at 7.0 across Group A2, and the one time these two have already met this campaign produced a lopsided 13-corner game. With the market line sitting almost exactly on the combined expectation from both sides' campaign numbers, the over edges it.
Over 9.5 corners at 1.85, 0.75 units.
Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.
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