GoalsNations League · Hampden Park, Glasgow · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45

Scotland vs North Macedonia Prediction and Tips: Goals

Tom Ashworth is at Hampden Park for a Group B1 rematch against a side that still hasn't found the net all autumn.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

North Macedonia's scoring drought

North Macedonia's Nations League campaign has been one-way traffic: four games, four defeats, zero points, zero goals scored and ten conceded. They sit bottom of Group B1 by a distance. Scotland, by contrast, have had a mixed cycle - one win, one draw and two defeats for four points and third place.

The two sides have already met once this autumn, on 3 October in North Macedonia, and Scotland won comfortably, 2-0. That result fits a wider pattern: North Macedonia have failed to score in literally every game they have played in this competition, including a 0-3 home defeat to Switzerland and a 0-2 home defeat to Slovenia either side of the Scotland game, then a 0-3 away defeat to Switzerland in the reverse fixture.

Scotland's own finishing has not been prolific either - they failed to score at all in two of their last four games, against Slovenia away and Switzerland at home - but they have found the net twice against this exact opponent already. With North Macedonia yet to register a single goal all campaign, both teams to score - no is the angle that keeps backing the thing that has actually been happening, rather than betting on Scotland finding a different gear.

Form guide

ScotlandLast 4 · Nations League Group B1
DLWL
Drew 0-0 away at Slovenia, lost 0-3 at home to Switzerland, won 2-0 away at North Macedonia, then lost 1-2 at home to Slovenia.
North MacedoniaLast 4 · Nations League Group B1
LLLL
Lost 0-3 at home to Switzerland, lost 0-2 away at Slovenia, lost 0-2 at home to Scotland, then lost 0-3 away at Switzerland - played four, scored zero.

Key numbers

  • North Macedonia goals scored this campaign (4 games)0
  • North Macedonia goals conceded (4 games)10
  • Scotland Group B1 record1-1-2, 4 pts
  • First meeting, 3 Oct (in North Macedonia)North Macedonia 0-2 Scotland
  • Scotland games without scoring this cycle2 of 4
  • North Macedonia Group B1 position4th of 4, 0 pts

Team news

No confirmed team news or starting line-ups were available for either side this far from kick-off. We did not find any reported injury crisis for either squad.

The risk

This is really a bet on North Macedonia's drought rather than on Scotland's attack - Scotland have themselves failed to score in two of their last four games (away at Slovenia and at home to Switzerland), so if North Macedonia finally break their duck against a misfiring Scotland side, both teams to score - no loses even without North Macedonia playing well.

Verdict

Both teams to score - No is priced at 1.44 by Kambi/Unibet UK, an implied 69.4% chance. North Macedonia have not scored in any of their four Group B1 games this autumn, shipping ten goals in the process, and were blanked 0-2 by this same Scotland side in October. Backing the drought to continue, rather than backing Scotland specifically to win or score, is the more durable angle here - it only needs North Macedonia to stay at nil, which is exactly what has happened in every game they have played this campaign.

Our prediction · Both teams to scoreScotland vs North Macedonia · Fri 19:45 · by Tom Ashworth
Both teams to score - No
Best odds1.44
Stake0.75 units
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 12 Nov, 13:20 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Sources
Scotland vs North Macedonia · Fri 19:45
Both teams to score - No @ 1.44
Odds checked 12 Nov, 13:20 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Goals tipsNations LeagueScotlandNorth MacedoniaBoth teams to score
Tom Ashworth
Goals specialist · 54% win rate · -6.8 units

Only bets goals markets: totals, both teams to score and team goals. Prices every match from expected goals and shot volume before he looks at a line.

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