Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon Prediction and Tips: Goals
Tom Ashworth looks at how both of Ligue 1's top two have been scoring and conceding in recent weeks ahead of PSG's home game with league leaders Lyon.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Two attacks that keep finding the net
Ligue 1's top two, both leaking goals
PSG are second with 14 points and a goal difference of +5; Lyon, surprise leaders, are top on the same 14 points with a goal difference of +8. Both have been scoring heavily in recent weeks, and both have been conceding more than the table position suggests.
PSG's last five league games have gone 1-2 at home to Monaco, 1-0 away at Brest, 2-1 away at Marseille, 3-1 at home over Le Mans and 3-1 away at Strasbourg — ten scored, five conceded, with both teams scoring in four of the five. Lyon's last five have gone 3-1 at home over Auxerre, 0-0 away at Paris FC, 4-0 at home over Rennes, 1-2 away at Lens and 2-1 at home over Nice — ten scored, four conceded, with both teams scoring in three of the five.
Both sides are capable of a blank — PSG shut out Brest, Lyon were shut out by Paris FC — but the overall pattern across both runs is goals at both ends more often than not.
Form guide
Key numbers
- PSG games with both teams scoring, last 5 Ligue 1 games4 of 5
- Lyon games with both teams scoring, last 5 Ligue 1 games3 of 5
- PSG goals scored, last 5 Ligue 1 games10
- PSG goals conceded, last 5 Ligue 1 games5
- Lyon goals scored, last 5 Ligue 1 games10
- Lyon goals conceded, last 5 Ligue 1 games4
Team news
No confirmed team news or starting line-ups are available for either side this far from kick-off; we have not found a specific injury list for either club in the time available this run.
PSG kept a clean sheet against Brest last time out and Lyon were shut out by Paris FC earlier in this run, so either defence is capable of a blank if the game is cagey rather than open.
Verdict
Both teams to score at 1.53 implies a 65.4% chance. PSG have seen both sides score in four of their last five Ligue 1 games and Lyon in three of their last five, with both sides conceding regularly behind otherwise strong recent form. We did not pull FBref/Understat shot or chance-created data for either side this run — our usual first checklist item for a goals-market tip — so this is built from goals and clean-sheet trends rather than the full shot-based number, which is why the stake is cut to 0.75 units and confidence capped at 2 out of 5. The pick is both teams to score at 1.53.
Form guide
Key numbers
- PSG games with both teams scoring, last 5 Ligue 1 games4 of 5
- Lyon games with both teams scoring, last 5 Ligue 1 games3 of 5
- PSG goals scored, last 5 Ligue 1 games10
- PSG goals conceded, last 5 Ligue 1 games5
- Lyon goals scored, last 5 Ligue 1 games10
- Lyon goals conceded, last 5 Ligue 1 games4
Team news
No confirmed team news or starting line-ups are available for either side this far from kick-off; we have not found a specific injury list for either club in the time available this run.
PSG kept a clean sheet against Brest last time out and Lyon were shut out by Paris FC earlier in this run, so either defence is capable of a blank if the game is cagey rather than open.
Verdict
Both teams to score at 1.53 implies a 65.4% chance. PSG have seen both sides score in four of their last five Ligue 1 games and Lyon in three of their last five, with both sides conceding regularly behind otherwise strong recent form. We did not pull FBref/Understat shot or chance-created data for either side this run — our usual first checklist item for a goals-market tip — so this is built from goals and clean-sheet trends rather than the full shot-based number, which is why the stake is cut to 0.75 units and confidence capped at 2 out of 5. The pick is both teams to score at 1.53.
Only bets goals markets: totals, both teams to score and team goals. Prices every match from expected goals and shot volume before he looks at a line.
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