Portugal vs Denmark Prediction and Tips: Goals

Portugal's scoring run and a leaky October meeting

Portugal have been the standout side in Group A4, winning all four of their games so far and sitting on a maximum 12 points - the only unbeaten, undefeated record in the group. Denmark sit second with six points from two wins and two defeats, a far more uneven campaign.

The two sides have already met once this cycle, on 1 October in Denmark, and it was not close in terms of goals: Denmark 2-4 Portugal, six goals in total with both sides finding the net twice or more. Portugal have conceded only four goals across their four games, but three of those came in that single match against Denmark's attack - a sign that this fixture in particular tends to produce chances at both ends, even against an otherwise tight Portuguese defence.

Denmark's own cycle has swung between the tight (a 2-0 win over Wales, a 1-0 away win at Wales) and the loose (a 3-2 home defeat to Norway, the 2-4 defeat to Portugal) - when Denmark play a side with genuine attacking quality, goals have followed. Portugal are that side, scoring at a rate of 2.25 goals a game. With both teams already showing they can get goals in this exact matchup, over 2.5 goals is the number that fits.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Portugal Group A4 record4-0-0, 12 pts
• Denmark Group A4 record2-0-2, 6 pts
• First meeting, 1 Oct (in Denmark)Denmark 2-4 Portugal
• Portugal goals scored / conceded (4 games)9 / 4
• Denmark goals scored / conceded (4 games)7 / 7
• Games with 3+ goals this cycle (8 combined games)5 of 8

Team news

No confirmed team news or starting line-ups were available for either side this far from kick-off. We did not find any reported injury crisis for either squad.

Verdict

Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.54 by Kambi/Unibet UK, an implied 64.9% chance. Portugal have scored in every one of their four Group A4 games and found the net nine times in total, while Denmark have been involved in two genuine goal-fests (five and six total goals) alongside two tighter 1-0/2-0 affairs. The October meeting in Denmark produced six goals on its own. Five of the eight games these two sides have played in the group this autumn have gone over 2.5, which is the main reason to back the trend continuing even with Portugal's position already secure.