Osasuna vs Athletic Club Prediction and Tips: Asian Handicap
Callum Reid prices Osasuna's three-defeats-in-five league run against an Athletic Club side that has just won back-to-back.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓A losing run against one just finding form
Osasuna's home form has gone missing lately. Across their last five La Liga games they've won once - a 2-0 home win over bottom club Racing Santander - drawing once and losing the other three, including a 0-2 loss at Sevilla and a 2-5 defeat at Real Betis. Six scored and ten conceded in that run leaves them 15th on 11 points from 11 games.
Athletic Club have found form at just the right time. They've won their last two league games in a row - 4-0 at home to Getafe and 2-1 away at Real Sociedad - scoring six and conceding just one across that spell, after a run of two draws and a defeat at Levante earlier in October. They sit 7th on 15 points from ten games.
Osasuna's lone win in this run came against a side even worse off than them; Athletic arrive with the better underlying numbers and the better recent run. At 2.00, Athletic Club -0.5 asks only for an outright win, no cushion needed given how one-sided this month has been. The pick is Athletic Club -0.5 (Asian handicap).
Form guide
Key numbers
- Osasuna league position15th, 11 pts from 11 games
- Athletic Club league position7th, 15 pts from 10 games
- Osasuna record, last 5 La Liga games1W-1D-3L (6 scored, 10 conceded)
- Athletic Club record, last 5 La Liga games2W-2D-1L (7 scored, 4 conceded)
Team news
Team news is six days out and nothing is confirmed from either camp. No injury or suspension list has been published for either side; this tip is built on league form and underlying numbers rather than personnel.
Osasuna's one win in this run shows they can still turn a home game around against a side with something to prove, and a goalless draw - which Athletic have already played out twice this autumn, against Alavés and Valencia - would be enough to beat this -0.5 line against them.
Verdict
At 2.00, Athletic Club -0.5 implies roughly a 48% chance of an outright away win once the overround comes out. Athletic's two-game winning run against Osasuna's one win in five says that's underpriced rather than fair. One unit on Athletic Club -0.5 (Asian handicap).
- ESPN - La Liga standings - league positions and points
- ESPN - Osasuna schedule and results - recent form
- ESPN - Athletic Club schedule and results - recent form
Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.
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