Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction and Tips: Anytime Scorer
Hannah Weir checks the minutes and the finishing of Manchester City's number nine before Anfield's biggest game of the weekend.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Haaland's record when he plays
Manchester City go to Anfield top of the table on 15 points from five games, five clear of Liverpool in sixth, and Erling Haaland is at the centre of why.
Checking his last five fixtures for City: he played and scored in four of them - one goal at home to Coventry City, two away at Porto in the Champions League, one at Manchester United, and one at home to Sunderland - and was out of the squad entirely only once, rested for a Carabao Cup tie against Norwich City that City won comfortably without him. Nothing in that pattern points to his Premier League starting spot being in doubt.
Across those four starts he had four shots and two on target per 90 on average, scoring in every single one of them - a run of four from four appearances this season so far, albeit a small sample. We could not confirm City's team news for Sunday specifically; no fitness doubt has been reported against his name, but we have not seen an official starting XI this far out.
City have scored in every one of those five games regardless of opponent, and Liverpool's defence has conceded in most of their own recent matches too. At 2.05, the pick is Erling Haaland to score anytime.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Haaland starts in City's last 5 games (all competitions)4 of 5 - rested for the Carabao Cup tie
- Haaland goals in those 4 starts1, 2, 1, 1 - scored in all four
- Manchester City league position1st, 15 pts from 5 games
- Liverpool league position6th, 9 pts from 5 games
Team news
No injury concern has been reported for Haaland. He was rested for the Carabao Cup win over Norwich City in midweek, which reads as rotation for a lower-priority round rather than a fitness issue, but we have not seen Pep Guardiola's team news or a confirmed starting XI for this game.
Rotation is the main risk: City have a busy October and Haaland was already rested once this month for a cup tie. We have not seen a confirmed starting XI for this game, and if City manage his minutes again the price will look short in hindsight.
Verdict
Haaland to score anytime at 2.05 implies a 49% chance. His actual scoring rate when he has started has been 100% over his last four appearances, which makes this price look generous if he's in the side - the real doubt is only whether he starts at all.
- ESPN match report: Manchester City vs Sunderland (5-3) - Haaland 1 goal
- ESPN match report: Manchester United vs Manchester City (0-1) - Haaland 1 goal
- ESPN match report: Porto vs Manchester City (0-2) - Haaland 2 goals
- ESPN match report: Manchester City vs Coventry City (1-0) - Haaland 1 goal
- ESPN match report: Manchester City vs Norwich City (5-0, Carabao Cup) - Haaland not in squad
- ESPN Premier League standings
Bets players, not teams: anytime scorer, shots on target, assists and other props. Works from minutes, shot volume and set-piece duties, and passes on any player who is not a confirmed starter.
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