ResultNations League · Astana Arena, Astana · Tue 6 Oct, 15:00

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands Prediction and Tips: Double Chance

Callum Reid looks at Kazakhstan's losing run, the Faroe Islands' unbeaten Group C3 campaign, and the draw the two sides played out last month.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

One side unbeaten, the other on a losing run

Group C3 has been kind to nobody at the top, but Kazakhstan's form has gone the wrong way at the worst time. After drawing 1-1 away at the Faroe Islands on 26 September, they lost 2-1 at Slovakia and then 1-2 at home to Moldova on 2 October — back-to-back defeats that leave them bottom of the group on a single point.

Faroe Islands, by contrast, have not lost: three draws from three, against Kazakhstan, Moldova and Slovakia, for three points more than Kazakhstan despite not winning a game themselves. Their most recent result, a 1-1 draw at home to Slovakia (the group's form side) on 2 October, is the strongest point on their resume.

The two sides met three weeks ago and drew 1-1. Since then, Kazakhstan's form has gone backwards and Faroe Islands' has held steady, which cuts against the bottom-versus-third-place framing the table alone would suggest.

We have not found a confirmed line-up for either side this far out, and no referee appointment was available to check. At 1.54, the double chance on Faroe Islands or the draw looks fair against a Kazakhstan side that has not won since the opening round and is now on a two-game losing run. The pick is Faroe Islands or draw.

Astana Arena, Astana
Astana Arena, host of Kazakhstan's Group C3 meeting with the Faroe IslandsPhoto: ChelseaFunNumberOne / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0

Form guide

KazakhstanNations League Group C3, last 3
Faroe IslandsNations League Group C3, last 3

Key numbers

  • Kazakhstan record, Group C3 (3 games)0W 1D 2L, 3-5
  • Faroe Islands record, Group C3 (3 games)0W 3D 0L, 3-3
  • First meeting, 26 SeptemberFaroe Islands 1-1 Kazakhstan
  • Kazakhstan's last two resultsL 1-2 away at Slovakia, L 1-2 home vs Moldova

Team news

No confirmed line-up or injury news found for either side at the time of writing.

The risk

A double chance on the away side still loses if Kazakhstan win at home, and the case for a home side needing points after two defeats is real; stake is trimmed to 0.75u to reflect that.

Verdict

At 1.54, backing Faroe Islands or the draw implies about a 65% chance of either outcome. A side that has not lost a game in the group, including a draw with this exact opponent, against a home side on a two-match losing run, supports taking the double chance rather than the outright draw or win. The pick is Faroe Islands or draw.

Our prediction · Double chanceKazakhstan vs Faroe Islands · Tue 15:00 · by Callum Reid
Faroe Islands or draw
Best odds1.54
Stake0.75 unit
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 4 Oct, 21:50 UK (Unibet, Kambi odds feed)
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands · Tue 15:00
Faroe Islands or draw @ 1.54
Odds checked 4 Oct, 21:50 UK (Unibet, Kambi odds feed)
Result tipsNations LeagueKazakhstanFaroe IslandsDouble chance
Callum Reid
Match result & handicap specialist · 64% win rate · +2.0 units

Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.

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