Fenerbahce vs Slavia Prague Prediction and Tips: Result
Callum Reid prices up a home game for Fenerbahce against a Slavia Prague side already in the bottom quarter of the Champions League league phase.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Two sides with one point between them, but very different domestic form
Fenerbahce and Slavia Prague go into matchday three with one league-phase point between them - Fenerbahce 28th with a draw, Slavia Prague 31st with two defeats, out of the 36 teams in the table. The gap in form away from Europe, though, is wide.
At home in this competition, Fenerbahce are yet to lose: a 1-1 draw with Roma in their opening league-phase game. Domestically they have been ruthless, winning their last three matches 3-0, 8-0 and 3-0, and their only defeat anywhere this season came away from home, a 0-6 loss at a much stronger Aston Villa.
Slavia Prague's away form in this competition is the more alarming number. Having lost 2-3 at home to Lens in their opener, they then lost 2-0 away at Sabah FK, a part-time Azerbaijani side playing only their second Champions League league-phase campaign. That is the opponent they take into Istanbul off the back of.
Fenerbahce's home form in Europe plus Slavia's defeat to the group's weakest side on current evidence makes Fenerbahce to win, at 1.67, the pick here.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Fenerbahce domestic goal difference, last 3 games+14
- Slavia Prague league-phase points0 of 6
- Slavia Prague's last result2-0 loss away at Sabah FK
Team news
Neither side's line-up is confirmed four days out. We have not found any fresh injury news for either club beyond what already shows up in their recent results, so both team sheets should be treated as unconfirmed until closer to kick-off.
Fenerbahce have shipped seven goals in two league-phase games this season, all of them in the 6-0 defeat at Aston Villa, so there is a defensive question mark even though it has not shown up at home yet. A flat night in front of goal, of the kind that produced a 0-0 draw with Gaziantep domestically, would also make this closer than the price suggests.
Verdict
1.67 on the home side implies roughly a 60% chance of a Fenerbahce win. That looks fair rather than short: Slavia Prague have taken nothing from two league-phase games, including a loss to a part-time Azerbaijani side, while Fenerbahce's only blemish in Europe this season came away from home against a vastly superior Aston Villa.
Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.
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