Cagliari vs Bologna Prediction and Tips: Result

Form says Cagliari, the price still says close

Cagliari are 7th on 13 points (goal difference -1); Bologna are 15th on 5 points (goal difference -4).

Cagliari's last five Serie A games: win 1-0 (Lecce), win 2-1 (at Atalanta), win 1-0 (at Udinese), draw 1-1 (at home to Juventus), loss 0-4 (at Monza). Three wins, a draw and one bad result at Monza - otherwise unbeaten in four. Bologna's last five: draw 2-2 (Sassuolo), loss 0-1 (at Napoli), draw 1-1 (Torino), win 2-1 (at Lecce), loss 1-3 (at home to Internazionale). One win, two draws and two losses, including a home defeat to Inter in their last outing.

Despite that gap in recent form, the full-time market still has Cagliari at 3.05, the draw at 3.05 and Bologna at 2.40 away - Bologna priced shorter than the home side. That is the kind of thing the match-result market is sometimes slow to reprice: reputation and table history pulling the price toward the bigger-spending club even when the recent numbers point the other way.

Rather than chase the outright price, the draw-no-bet market removes the one outcome that is hardest to call here: Cagliari draw no bet at 2.06.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Cagliari results, last 5 Serie A games3W-1D-1L
• Cagliari points from last 5 games10 of 15
• Bologna results, last 5 Serie A games1W-2D-2L
• Bologna points from last 5 games5 of 15
• Bologna's last Serie A result1-3 home loss to Internazionale

Team news

No confirmed starting line-ups or injury news are available this far from kick-off for either side.

Verdict

Cagliari draw no bet at 2.06 backs the better-form side to win, with the draw covered as a push. Cagliari have taken 10 points from a possible 15 in their last five Serie A games, Bologna five, and the market's 2.40 price on Bologna away looks generous given that gap. Cagliari draw no bet at 2.06 is the pick.