Austria vs Republic of Ireland Prediction and Tips: Result

Austria's perfect home record against a side they have already drawn with

Austria have been the best side in Group B3 this autumn without losing a game: two wins and two draws from four, nine goals scored and five conceded, a goal difference clear of the rest of the group. Both of those wins came at home - 3-1 over Israel and 3-1 over Kosovo - while both draws came on the road, including a 2-2 at the Aviva Stadium against this same Republic of Ireland side on 1 October.

That head-to-head draw is the obvious case against backing Austria here, and it is a fair one: Ireland have already shown they can match Austria's attack goal for goal. But the venue has changed. Austria have not dropped a point at home all campaign, scoring six and conceding two across their two home fixtures, while Ireland's own away form this autumn has been mixed - a 3-0 win at Israel either side of a 0-1 defeat at Kosovo.

We could not confirm either side's final team news this far from kick-off, and a repeat of October's high-scoring draw is a live possibility given both sides have shown they can score against each other. But Austria's clean home record, and the fact Ireland have not won away from Dublin this cycle, is enough to lean towards the home side closing out the group with a third win.

Austria to win at 1.57 is the number that fits a team unbeaten at home all autumn, even allowing for the draw risk the first meeting showed.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Austria Group B3 record2-2-0, 8 pts
• Republic of Ireland Group B3 record1-2-1, 5 pts
• First meeting, 1 Oct (in Dublin)Republic of Ireland 2-2 Austria
• Austria home record this campaign2-0-0, 6 scored, 2 conceded
• Republic of Ireland away record this campaign1-0-1, 3 scored, 1 conceded
• Austria goals scored/conceded (4 games)9 / 5

Team news

We found no reported injury news for either squad this week, but neither side's starting eleven is confirmed this far from kick-off.

Verdict

Austria to win is priced at 1.57 by Kambi/Unibet UK, an implied 63.7% chance. They are unbeaten in Group B3, have won both of their home games this campaign without conceding more than once in either, and face a Republic of Ireland side with a mixed away record. The one meeting between these sides this cycle was a 2-2 draw in Dublin, which is why this is a 0.75-unit stake rather than a larger one.