Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction and Tips: Result

Form says one thing, the price says another

Atlético Madrid have lost just once in their last five La Liga games - away at Athletic Club - and head into this one off the back of a 2-1 derby win over Real Madrid. They sit second in La Liga on 16 points from seven games, conceding only five goals across their last five league outings, a touch over a goal a game.

Manchester United arrive having won only one of their last five Premier League games. Their away form has been particularly shaky: no wins in three league trips, including a 2-0 defeat at Hull City, with draws at Everton and Fulham either side of a derby loss to Manchester City at home. They sit 12th in the Premier League with 5 points from 5 games.

Neither side's team news was confirmed this far out, and a European night can bring rotation that league form doesn't capture. Even allowing for that, the gap in current form and the fact Atlético are at home makes their price the one worth taking. The pick is Atlético Madrid to win at 2.20.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Atlético Madrid La Liga position2nd, 16 pts from 7 games
• Manchester United Premier League position12th, 5 pts from 5 games
• Atlético Madrid goals conceded, last 5 league games5 (1.0 per game)
• Man Utd away league results this season0W-2D-1L (loss at Hull, draws at Everton and Fulham)

Team news

No confirmed starting line-ups were available this far from kick-off for either club. This tip is built on recent league form and table position rather than team news.

Verdict

Atlético Madrid to win at 2.20 implies a 45.5% chance, which looks short of their recent level: unbeaten at home all season and losers of just once in their last five league games, against a Manchester United side with one win in five and no away league wins this season. Confidence is capped at 3 because this is a Champions League fixture rather than a league game and neither starting eleven could be confirmed in advance.