AC Milan vs Internazionale Prediction and Tips: Players

Minutes, starts and the derby price

Away from the result market, Inter's attack has had one very consistent face in front of goal this season: Marcus Thuram.

Thuram has started all five of Inter's last five Serie A games and scored in four of them — against Udinese, Parma, Bologna and Fiorentina — with the one blank coming at AS Roma, where Lautaro Martínez started alongside him and scored twice instead. That is as close to a confirmed starter with a hot scoring record as the derby offers.

We have not confirmed Inter's starting eleven for Saturday this far out, and have not separately checked who takes Inter's penalties, so this is priced on his minutes and finishing record rather than a locked-in line-up.

At 2.50, Marcus Thuram to score anytime is the tip. 0.5 units — cut from the usual stake given the line-up is not yet confirmed.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Thuram starts, last 5 Serie A games5 of 5
• Thuram goals, last 5 Serie A games4 of 5
• Game where Thuram did not scoreInter vs AS Roma — Lautaro Martínez scored twice instead

Team news

Thuram has been an automatic starter in Inter's last five league games; we have not seen confirmed team news for the derby itself yet.

Verdict

At 2.50, anytime scorer needs a 40% chance to break even. Thuram has scored in 4 of his last 5 Serie A starts (80%), well clear of that line, even allowing for the step up in opposition quality in a derby.