GoalsChampions League · Viking Stadion, Stavanger, Norway · Wed 4 Nov, 20:00

Viking FK vs Sabah FK Prediction and Tips: Goals

Tom Ashworth checks the goals in both sides' Champions League league-phase matches so far, with both teams on the board at both ends in every one.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

Two open games in Stavanger

Viking FK's Champions League league phase has been eventful rather than tight: a 3-3 draw at home to Bayern Munich, a 1-3 defeat away at Aston Villa and a 2-3 defeat away at Bodo/Glimt. Across those three matches Viking have scored 5 and conceded 9 (ESPN standings), with goals at both ends in every single one.

Sabah FK's record reads differently on paper - a 2-0 win at home to Slavia Prague alongside a 1-2 home defeat to Borussia Dortmund - but the shape is similar: 3 scored, 6 conceded across their three Champions League games, and goals at both ends in the matches we can check.

Neither side has played a goalless or single-goal Champions League match this season. We have not found confirmed starting line-ups for either club this far from kick-off, so this is built on the season pattern rather than the team sheet - if either manager rotates heavily for a game with little left to play for, that could pull the total down.

The price of 1.44 is short, which is why the stake is cut to 0.75 units rather than a full stake, but the pick is over 2.5 goals.

Viking Stadion, Stavanger, Norway
Viking FK's club crestClub crest: ESPN

Form guide

Viking FKChampions League league phase
Sabah FKChampions League league phase

Key numbers

  • Viking CL goals scored (3 games)5
  • Viking CL goals conceded (3 games)9
  • Sabah CL goals scored (3 games)3
  • Sabah CL goals conceded (3 games)6
  • Viking CL matches with goals at both ends3 of 3

Team news

No confirmed line-up for either side at the time of writing. Viking have not kept a clean sheet in any of their three Champions League matches regardless of personnel, which is the main basis for this tip rather than any specific team news.

The risk

At 1.44 the market is already pricing this as a short-priced over, so the edge is thinner than most of Tom's bets - the stake is cut accordingly. A cagey, heavily rotated line-up from either side, with both out of realistic qualification contention, is the main way this loses.

Verdict

Over 2.5 goals at 1.44 implies a 69.4% chance. Viking have had goals at both ends in all three Champions League matches so far and Sabah have been involved in goals at both ends in the games we have checked. The price is short, so this is a smaller stake than usual.

Our prediction · Total goalsViking FK vs Sabah FK · Wed 20:00 · by Tom Ashworth
Over 2.5 goals
Best odds1.44
Stake0.75 unit
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 2 Nov, 20:18 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK, decimal odds)
Viking FK vs Sabah FK · Wed 20:00
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.44
Odds checked 2 Nov, 20:18 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK, decimal odds)
Goals tipsChampions LeagueViking FKSabah FKTotal goals
Tom Ashworth
Goals specialist · 57% win rate · -2.0 units

Only bets goals markets: totals, both teams to score and team goals. Prices every match from expected goals and shot volume before he looks at a line.

All tips by Tom →

More predictions