Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction and Tips: Handicap

Real Madrid's home record against Leipzig's away collapses

Real Madrid's home record against Leipzig's away collapses

Real Madrid are 4th in La Liga on 18 points from eight games (6W-0D-2L), having scored 19 and conceded 8, and sit 8th in the Champions League League Phase on 6 points from two wins. RB Leipzig are 5th in the Bundesliga on 9 points from five games (3W-0D-2L) but just 21st in the League Phase on 3 points, with 2 scored and 4 conceded from their two games so far.

Real Madrid have won all three of their home games across competitions since the start of October: 2-1 over Internazionale in the Champions League, 4-1 over Rayo Vallecano and 1-0 over Villarreal in La Liga. The margins have not always been wide, but the result has not been in doubt.

RB Leipzig's away form is the more striking number here. Their last three away trips, in any competition, have all been defeats by a two-goal margin or more: 3-1 at Werder Bremen, 1-4 at Como in the Champions League, and 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen. They have scored once and conceded nine across those three matches away from home.

We could not confirm either side's starting line-up this far out from kick-off.

At 1.36, Real Madrid -1 on the Asian handicap is a bet that Leipzig's pattern of losing away games by two goals or more continues against a Real Madrid side unbeaten at home since the start of the month. Real Madrid -1 (Asian handicap) at 1.36, backed at 0.75 units given Real Madrid's own home margins have not always reached two goals.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Real Madrid home results (last 3)W 2-1, W 4-1, W 1-0
• Real Madrid league position4th La Liga, 18 pts from 8 games
• RB Leipzig away results (last 3)L 1-3, L 1-4, L 0-2
• RB Leipzig league position5th Bundesliga, 9 pts from 5 games
• Real Madrid -1 Asian handicap implied probability @1.3673.5%

Team news

No confirmed starting line-up was available for either side six days out from kick-off.

Verdict

At 1.36, Real Madrid -1 implies a 73.5% chance of winning by two goals or more. RB Leipzig have lost each of their last three away games by at least that margin, conceding nine and scoring just once, against a Real Madrid side unbeaten in three home games since the start of October.