RB Leipzig vs Manchester City Prediction and Tips: Result

A shaky favourite against a well-tested home side

Manchester City's position at the top of the Premier League masks a bumpier last six weeks than the table suggests: across all competitions they have a draw, two defeats and three wins in their last six - beaten 2-1 at Aston Villa, beaten 4-2 at home by Paris Saint-Germain, and held 2-2 by Brighton before winning that one on penalties in a cup tie. Eleven goals conceded in six games is more than a side wanting a comfortable away night in Europe would like.

RB Leipzig, by contrast, have won their last three matches at Red Bull Arena by an aggregate of 11-0 - 4-0 against SV Elversberg, 1-0 against PSV Eindhoven and 6-0 against Eintracht Frankfurt. But the level of opponent matters: Leipzig's two games this autumn against sides of genuine European pedigree both went the other way, 1-4 away at Real Madrid and 1-6 away at Bayern Munich. City, even with their recent wobbles, sit at that level, not at the level of the three home opponents Leipzig have just put to the sword.

City's underlying quality gap on Leipzig looks bigger than either side's last six results alone suggest, and Leipzig have already shown what happens when a side of that calibre turns up - they conceded ten goals across two matches against comparable company this autumn. City's own form is shaky enough that this isn't a banker, but the gap in class should be enough on its own. Back Manchester City to win.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Man City goals for/against, last 6 all comps16 for / 11 against
• Man City last 6 results (all comps)D-L-W-W-L-W
• RB Leipzig last 3 HOME resultsW 4-0, W 1-0, W 6-0
• RB Leipzig last 2 AWAY vs top-table oppositionL 1-4 at Real Madrid, L 1-6 at Bayern Munich

Team news

No confirmed line-ups six days out. We found no fresh injury news for either squad at the time of writing beyond what is visible in recent match minutes - worth checking again closer to kick-off given City's recent rotation through two competitions.

Verdict

Manchester City to win at 1.55 implies a 64.5% chance. Leipzig's two matches this autumn against sides of comparable quality to City produced an aggregate 2-10 scoreline, a stronger signal than their home form against weaker opposition. City's own recent form is unconvincing, but the gap in quality should be the deciding factor.