CornersNations League · Ta' Qali National Stadium, Attard · Sun 4 Oct, 17:00

Malta vs Andorra Prediction and Tips: Corners

Nadia Ferreira checks the corner counts from the three Group D1 matches played so far this campaign to price Sunday's corners market in Attard.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

A low-corner group so far

Corners in Group D1 have been in short supply. Malta's 1-1 with Gibraltar on 1 October produced 9 between the sides; the first Malta-Andorra meeting on 24 September produced just 5; and Andorra's goalless draw at Gibraltar on 27 September produced 8. Every one of the section's three matches has finished under 9, and two of the three finished well under that.

Neither side is built around wide, crossing play. Andorra set up to defend in both their group games and have not forced a flood of corners even when pushing for something in the Gibraltar draw. Malta have won their corner counts in each match but not by a wide margin — their highest total, 9, still split close to evenly with Gibraltar.

No line-ups are confirmed three days out, so this is built on the pattern across the section rather than a specific team-news angle.

Backing Under 8.5 corners at 1.76, 0.75 units.

Form guide

MaltaCorners won, Nations League Group D1
DL
AndorraCorners won, Nations League Group D1
LL

Key numbers

  • Malta 1-1 Gibraltar (1 Oct) total corners9
  • Andorra 1-2 Malta (24 Sep) total corners5
  • Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra (27 Sep) total corners8
  • Average across the 3 Group D1 matches played7.3

Team news

No line-ups are confirmed three days out. We found no injury or suspension news for either squad this week.

The risk

<p>Three group matches is a small sample to build a corners line on, and Malta pushing for a second win over this opponent could mean more crosses and blocked corners than the average suggests — stake trimmed to 0.75 units for that reason.</p>

Verdict

Under 8.5 corners at 1.76 implies a 57% chance. All three Group D1 matches played this campaign — 9, 5 and 8 corners — have finished under that mark. 0.75 units, stake trimmed for the small sample.

Our prediction · Total cornersMalta vs Andorra · Sun 17:00 · by Nadia Ferreira
Under 8.5 corners
Best odds1.76
Stake0.75 unit
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 3 Oct, 21:10 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Malta vs Andorra · Sun 17:00
Under 8.5 corners @ 1.76
Odds checked 3 Oct, 21:10 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Corners tipsNations LeagueMaltaAndorraTotal corners
Nadia Ferreira
Corners specialist · 55% win rate · -0.6 units

Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.

All tips by Nadia →

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