CornersNations League · Hampden Park, Glasgow · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45

Scotland vs North Macedonia Prediction and Tips: Corners

Nadia Ferreira returns to Group B1's bottom club for a corners angle built on North Macedonia's non-existent attack and the exact pattern from the sides' first meeting this autumn.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

North Macedonia's non-existent attack and Scotland's corner count

Group B1 finishes with North Macedonia bottom of the pile and still without a goal to their name. Four games, zero scored, ten conceded - a side that sits deep, concedes territory and gets overrun in the final third. Scotland have had an uneven campaign of their own (one win, one draw, two defeats) but did enough on the road at North Macedonia on 3 October to win 2-0, and in the process put together nine corners to North Macedonia's one.

That single head-to-head data point matters more here than the general season averages. A team that cannot create at the other end, and spends most of a match defending its own box, concedes corners in bulk - blocked crosses, deflected shots, last-ditch clearances behind. North Macedonia have conceded at least five corners in every one of their four games this autumn, including eight away at Switzerland and nine at home to Scotland. Scotland themselves are not a corner-heavy side against stronger opposition (one corner at home to Switzerland, four away at Slovenia), but against a side they dominate territorially the count climbs sharply - exactly what happened in October.

Hosting this one at Hampden rather than playing away, Scotland should get at least as much of the ball and the final third as they did in Skopje, if not more. We found no reported injury news affecting either side's regulars this week, though with the group already decided for both teams (North Macedonia cannot finish above bottom, Scotland cannot finish above third) there is some rotation risk on both benches that we could not rule out this far from kick-off.

Scotland to win more than six and a half corners is the number that matches both the season-long pattern and the one time these two have actually played each other this campaign.

Form guide

ScotlandLast 4 · Nations League Group B1
Drew 0-0 away at Slovenia, lost 0-3 at home to Switzerland, won 2-0 away at North Macedonia, then lost 1-2 at home to Slovenia.
North MacedoniaLast 4 · Nations League Group B1
Lost 0-3 at home to Switzerland, lost 0-2 away at Slovenia, lost 0-2 at home to Scotland, lost 0-3 away at Switzerland - no goals scored in any of the four.

Key numbers

  • Scotland corners won, away at North Macedonia (3 Oct)9
  • North Macedonia corners won, same match1
  • North Macedonia goals scored this campaign (4 games)0
  • North Macedonia corners conceded this campaign (4 games)26
  • Scotland Group B1 record1-1-2, 4 pts
  • North Macedonia Group B1 record0-0-4, 0 pts

Team news

We found no reported injury news affecting Scotland's regular wide players or North Macedonia's regulars this week. Neither side's starting eleven is confirmed this far from kick-off.

The risk

This is a dead group game for both sides, which raises the chance of changed starting line-ups and a flatter match than the October meeting. We could not confirm the final team sheets this far from kick-off.

Verdict

Scotland to win more than 6.5 corners is priced at 1.64 by Kambi/Unibet UK, an implied 61.0% chance. The one time these two have met this campaign, Scotland won nine corners to North Macedonia's one; North Macedonia have now gone four Group B1 games without scoring and have conceded at least five corners in every one of them. Hosting this game rather than playing away, as they did in October, gives Scotland every reason to repeat or beat that corner count.

Our prediction · Team cornersScotland vs North Macedonia · Fri 19:45 · by Nadia Ferreira
Scotland over 6.5 corners
Best odds1.64
Stake1 unit
Confidence 4/5
Odds checked 12 Nov, 20:22 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Sources
Scotland vs North Macedonia · Fri 19:45
Scotland over 6.5 corners @ 1.64
Odds checked 12 Nov, 20:22 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Corners tipsNations LeagueScotlandNorth MacedoniaCorners
Nadia Ferreira
Corners specialist · 46% win rate · -7.9 units

Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.

All tips by Nadia →

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