Lyon vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Tips: Double Chance

Lyon's home scoring against Palace's away resilience

Lyon are 3rd in Ligue 1 on 11 points from six games (3W-2D-1L), having scored 11 and conceded 4. Crystal Palace sit 15th in the Premier League on 4 points from five games (1W-1D-3L) at the time of writing, with their next league fixture against Nottingham Forest on 11 October still to be played.

Lyon score freely at the Groupama Stadium: 3-1 over Auxerre, 4-0 over Stade Rennais and a 1-1 draw with Le Havre in their three home league games, 8 goals in all, with 15 shots (9 on target) in the Rennes win alone.

Crystal Palace's away record this season tells a different story to their table position. They are unbeaten on the road in the Premier League: a 3-2 win at Fulham, where they were outshot 25-10 but took their chances, and a 0-0 draw at Leeds where the shot count was close (13-12). Both of their league defeats this season have come at home — 1-4 to Manchester City and 2-3 to Ipswich Town at Selhurst Park — so their away form is considerably better than their home form.

We could not confirm either club's starting line-up this far out from kick-off, and this is Palace's first European away trip of the campaign, so there is no continental away form yet to add to the domestic picture.

The straight result market is tight (2.15 / 3.65 / 3.15), which matches a game where the home side scores freely but the away side has shown it can be hard to beat on the road. Crystal Palace or draw at 1.68 is the pick, backed at 0.75 units given how thin Palace's away sample still is.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Lyon goals scored, last 3 home league games3, 4, 1 (8 goals)
• Lyon league position3rd Ligue 1, 11 pts from 6 games
• Crystal Palace away PL record this seasonUnbeaten: W 3-2 at Fulham, D 0-0 at Leeds
• Crystal Palace home PL record this seasonLost both: 1-4 vs Man City, 2-3 vs Ipswich Town
• Crystal Palace or draw implied probability @1.6859.5%

Team news

No confirmed team news or line-up was available for either club four days out from kick-off. Crystal Palace play a Premier League fixture against Nottingham Forest on 11 October, three days before this tie, which is not reflected in the form above since it had not been played at the time of writing.

Verdict

At 1.68, Crystal Palace or draw implies a 59.5% chance Palace avoid defeat. Their away form in the Premier League this season is unbeaten, in contrast to a home record where they have lost both league games at Selhurst Park, and that gives more reason to back their away resilience here than their home weakness would suggest on its own.