ResultLa Liga · Estadi Ciutat de València, Valencia · Sat 31 Oct, 13:00

Levante vs Atlético Madrid Prediction and Tips: Result

Callum Reid prices up a home underdog on a rough defensive run against a league leader still winning every week.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

Pricing a struggling Levante against in-form Atlético

Atlético Madrid sit second in La Liga on 25 points from ten games and have won six league matches in a row, scoring at least once in every one of them. Levante are down in 14th on 10 points, without a win in their last three league games (one draw, two defeats) and have conceded 14 goals in their last six league matches — 2.33 a game.

Pricing this from scratch rather than just reading the table: Atlético have not lost in any competition since mid-September, drawing 1-1 away at Stuttgart in the Champions League and otherwise winning, including 2-0 at Manchester United. Their away form in La Liga specifically has produced wins at Espanyol (0-1), Alavés (1-2) and Real Sociedad (0-3) in their last three trips, each a clean away win without needing to be flashy about it.

Levante's main problem has been at the back — four goals conceded at home to Barcelona, three away at Villarreal, three more shared with Sevilla in a 3-3 — not a leaky side by accident but a pattern across the last six weeks. Facing an Atlético attack that has scored in every league game this season, the home banker here is thin.

We have no confirmed team news for either side and no particular reason to expect squad rotation given Atlético's title push, so we are pricing this at face value rather than adjusting for absences we cannot verify.

The market prices Atlético Madrid to win at 1.57, an implied 64% chance. Given the gap in form — six straight wins against a Levante side that has lost the defensive plot in recent weeks — that looks fair rather than short, and reaching for the handicap adds risk the straight win does not need. The pick is Atlético Madrid to win.

Form guide

Atlético MadridLast 6 · La Liga
1-0 Deportivo, 0-1 at Espanyol, 1-2 at Alavés, 2-1 Real Madrid, 4-0 Osasuna, 0-3 at Real Sociedad
LevanteLast 6 · La Liga
2-1 at Real Sociedad (L), 3-1 Athletic Club (W), 1-1 at Deportivo (D), 3-3 Sevilla (D), 3-1 at Villarreal (L), 2-4 Barcelona (L)

Key numbers

  • Atlético Madrid La Liga record, last 6 games6W-0D-0L
  • Atlético Madrid goals scored, last 6 La Liga games11 (1.83 per game)
  • Levante goals conceded, last 6 La Liga games14 (2.33 per game)
  • Levante La Liga record, last 6 games1W-2D-3L

Team news

We found no confirmed team-news or injury lines for either side ahead of kick-off, and no reason to expect Atlético to rotate given their title push, so this is priced at face value.

The risk

Atlético have had a Champions League trip to Stuttgart in between league games and dropped points there (1-1), a reminder they are not unbeatable; Levante have scored in five of their last six at home.

Verdict

Atlético Madrid's six-game winning run and tidy away form in La Liga stack up well against a Levante side that has conceded in six straight matches. Atlético Madrid to win at 1.57.

Our prediction · Match resultLevante vs Atlético Madrid · Sat 13:00 · by Callum Reid
Atlético Madrid to win
Best odds1.57
Stake1 unit
Confidence 4/5
Odds checked 30 Oct, 13:15 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Levante vs Atlético Madrid · Sat 13:00
Atlético Madrid to win @ 1.57
Odds checked 30 Oct, 13:15 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Result tipsLa LigaLevanteAtlético MadridMatch result
Callum Reid
Match result & handicap specialist · 58% win rate · -0.9 units

Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.

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