ResultChampions League · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, France · Wed 4 Nov, 20:00

Lens vs Como Prediction and Tips: Result

Callum Reid weighs up Como's Champions League form against Lens's struggles in Europe, and prices the draw out of it.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

Como's form against Lens's home struggles

Como have been one of the better stories of this season's Champions League league phase: a 0-0 draw away at Roma, a 2-3 defeat at Feyenoord and, most recently, a 4-1 win away at Manchester United. Across three matches that is 10 goals scored, 5 conceded and 6 points from a possible 9 (ESPN standings). Domestically they go into this on a four-match unbeaten run in Serie A, including wins over Sassuolo, Torino and Venezia.

Lens, by contrast, have found the step up harder: a 0-2 home defeat to Sporting CP and a 0-3 defeat away at Club Brugge in their Champions League matches, with 3 goals scored and 7 conceded across their three games. In Ligue 1 they have also lost their last match at home, 0-1 to Lille.

We could not confirm either side's starting line-up this far from kick-off, and there is no referee appointment to check for this market. On the numbers, Como's attacking output and Lens's leaky record in continental games point the same way; the bet is Como draw no bet, taking the draw out of the equation at a price of 1.61.

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, France
RC Lens' club crestClub crest: ESPN

Form guide

LensChampions League league phase
ComoChampions League league phase

Key numbers

  • Como CL goals scored (3 games)10
  • Como CL goals conceded (3 games)5
  • Como CL points (3 games)6
  • Lens CL goals scored (3 games)3
  • Lens CL goals conceded (3 games)7
  • Lens CL points (3 games)3

Team news

No confirmed line-ups for either side at the time of writing - this is based on the sides' Champions League and domestic form rather than the team sheet. No referee has been appointed yet either, though that does not affect this market.

The risk

Lens have been better domestically than in Europe and get the backing of their own crowd; a disciplined home performance built around frustrating Como rather than attacking them is the obvious way this draws, which is exactly the outcome draw no bet insures against.

Verdict

Como draw no bet at 1.61 implies a 62.1% chance once the draw is removed from the equation. Como have scored 10 and conceded 5 across their three Champions League matches, including a 4-1 win at Manchester United, against a Lens side that has managed only 3 goals and conceded 7 in the same competition. That gap is the edge.

Our prediction · Draw no betLens vs Como · Wed 20:00 · by Callum Reid
Como draw no bet
Best odds1.61
Stake1 unit
Confidence 4/5
Odds checked 2 Nov, 20:21 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK, decimal odds)
Lens vs Como · Wed 20:00
Como draw no bet @ 1.61
Odds checked 2 Nov, 20:21 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK, decimal odds)
Callum Reid
Match result & handicap specialist · 63% win rate · +3.6 units

Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.

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