Leeds United vs Manchester United Prediction and Tips: Result
Callum Reid prices up Manchester United's draw-heavy recent run, Leeds' split home and away form, and where the double chance line sits against the straight match-result price.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Manchester United's draw habit meets Leeds' patchy form
Manchester United arrive at Elland Road on the back of a run that says more about their draws than their defeats: three draws in their last four league games — 2-2 at Everton, 1-1 at Fulham and 1-1 at home to Tottenham — bookended by a single loss, at home to Manchester City. They sit 13th with just 6 points from 8 games, but they have lost only once in their last four and have not lost at all away from home in that spell.
Leeds' form over the same stretch is harder to pin down because it splits cleanly by venue. At Elland Road they have been excellent, beating Newcastle 4-1 and drawing 0-0 with Crystal Palace; on the road they have been worse, drawing at Brighton and then losing 1-2 at Arsenal in their most recent league outing. That mixed picture, set against a Manchester United side that keeps drawing rather than losing, is where the double chance market offers more protection than the straight match-result price.
We could not confirm either side's starting eleven this far out from kick-off, though neither side has an injury story obvious enough from the fixture list to change the picture above.
At 1.56, Manchester United or draw is the pick.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Manchester United record, last 4 league gamesW0 D3 L1
- Leeds United record, last 4 league gamesW1 D2 L1
- Manchester United away record, last 2 league gamesD2-2 at Everton, D1-1 at Fulham
- League positionLeeds United 7th (9 pts) vs Manchester United 13th (6 pts)
- Manchester United or draw implied probability @1.5664.1%
Team news
No confirmed starting line-up was available for either side four days out from kick-off.
<p>Leeds have the better recent home form of the two sides, having won 4-1 and drawn 0-0 in their last two league games at Elland Road, and an outright Leeds win is the one result this bet does not cover; Manchester United's draw habit could just as easily turn into a losing habit against a home side playing with more confidence than their away-day record last time out at Arsenal would suggest.</p>
Verdict
At 1.56, Manchester United or draw implies a 64.1% chance. Manchester United have drawn three of their last four league games and have not lost away from home in their last two league trips, while Leeds' only defeat in their own last four came away at Arsenal rather than at home. Manchester United or draw is the pick.
- Leeds United fixtures and results, ESPN — recent league form
- Manchester United fixtures and results, ESPN — recent league form
- Premier League table, ESPN — current league positions
- Unibet UK, via the Kambi odds feed — Double chance market
Bets who wins and by how much. Prices every match himself before looking at the market and only bets where the two disagree, with a preference for handicaps over straight winners.
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