Lazio vs Cagliari Prediction and Tips: Players

Isaksen's shot volume and Cagliari's leaky defence

Gustav Isaksen has started every one of Lazio's last four matches and played the full ninety minutes in each. That matters more than anything else in a scorer market: a rested or substituted winger is a wasted bet, and Isaksen has had no such interruption through Lazio's five-match winning run.

His underlying numbers back up the eye test. Across those four starts he has taken 4, 3, 5 and 1 shots respectively - an average of 3.25 a game - and scored in three of the four, against Monza, away at Juventus and away at Sassuolo. Shots, not goals, are the number to trust here, and his volume stayed high even in the one match, at Parma, he did not score.

The match-up favours him again. Cagliari have conceded 11 goals in their last five Serie A games, including four in each of their last two away defeats, and their full-backs have been exposed repeatedly by wide attackers in that run.

At 2.75, the price does not yet look fully adjusted for Lazio's form or Isaksen's share of their chances. Gustav Isaksen to score anytime is the tip, at a reduced stake given the variance that comes with any single player prop.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Isaksen starts, last 4 Lazio games4 of 4, full 90 minutes each time
• Isaksen goals, last 4 Lazio games3
• Isaksen shots per game, last 4 Lazio games4, 3, 5, 1 (avg 3.25)
• Cagliari goals conceded, last 5 league games11

Team news

We have not been able to confirm Sunday's exact Lazio line-up this far out, but Isaksen has been an automatic starter through Lazio's current five-match winning run and there is no injury news affecting him.

Verdict

Isaksen has started and gone the full ninety in four straight Lazio games, scoring three times on an average of 3.25 shots a game, against a Cagliari defence that has conceded 11 in five. At 2.75, backing him to score anytime is the tip, sized down for single-player variance.