Hull City vs Brentford Prediction and Tips: Corners
Nadia Ferreira looks at how many corners both sides have been winning, home and away, ahead of Hull's game with Brentford.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Two sides that don't win many corners away from home
Two sides that don't win many corners away from home
Hull are ninth with 9 points and a goal difference of +1; Brentford are sixth with 10 points and a goal difference of +5. Brentford arrive as clear favourites, but the corners market looks at a different question: how many set pieces does each side actually win, and where.
Looking at Hull's home league games and Brentford's away league games specifically — rather than their overall averages — Hull won 3 corners in a goalless home draw with Aston Villa and 7 in a 2-2 home draw with Everton (average 5.0 across those two). Brentford, on the road, won just 1 corner in a 2-2 draw at Bournemouth and 2 in a 2-2 draw at Aston Villa (average 1.5 across those two). Across their last five league games overall, Hull have won 3, 4, 7, 7 and 2 corners (average 4.6) and Brentford have won 4, 1, 4, 2 and 3 (average 2.8).
Neither side is a heavy corner-winner away from their own ground, and the market's 9.5 line sits above both the overall and the venue-specific averages for this fixture.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Hull City corners, last 2 home league games3, 7 (avg 5.0)
- Brentford corners, last 2 away league games1, 2 (avg 1.5)
- Hull City corners, all last 5 league games3, 4, 7, 7, 2
- Brentford corners, all last 5 league games4, 1, 4, 2, 3
Team news
No confirmed starting line-ups are available for either side this far from kick-off, and we have not been able to confirm which wide players and full-backs will start — the detail Nadia's own method treats as essential before pricing a corners line.
Brentford are strong favourites here and could end up on the front foot for most of the game, which tends to push a corners count up rather than down if Hull sit deep and absorb pressure.
Verdict
Under 9.5 total corners at 2.04 implies a 49.0% chance. Hull have averaged 5.0 corners across their two sampled home league games and Brentford just 1.5 across their two sampled away league games, for a combined estimate well below the market's 9.5 line — though that is a small sample split by venue, not a full ten-game home/away breakdown, and we have not confirmed either side's starting wide players. The gap looks wide enough to back at reduced stake, but this is a lower-confidence pick than our usual corners tips. The pick is under 9.5 total corners at 2.04.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Hull City corners, last 2 home league games3, 7 (avg 5.0)
- Brentford corners, last 2 away league games1, 2 (avg 1.5)
- Hull City corners, all last 5 league games3, 4, 7, 7, 2
- Brentford corners, all last 5 league games4, 1, 4, 2, 3
Team news
No confirmed starting line-ups are available for either side this far from kick-off, and we have not been able to confirm which wide players and full-backs will start — the detail Nadia's own method treats as essential before pricing a corners line.
Brentford are strong favourites here and could end up on the front foot for most of the game, which tends to push a corners count up rather than down if Hull sit deep and absorb pressure.
Verdict
Under 9.5 total corners at 2.04 implies a 49.0% chance. Hull have averaged 5.0 corners across their two sampled home league games and Brentford just 1.5 across their two sampled away league games, for a combined estimate well below the market's 9.5 line — though that is a small sample split by venue, not a full ten-game home/away breakdown, and we have not confirmed either side's starting wide players. The gap looks wide enough to back at reduced stake, but this is a lower-confidence pick than our usual corners tips. The pick is under 9.5 total corners at 2.04.
Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.
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