Getafe vs Sevilla Prediction and Tips: Double Chance
Callum Reid prices Getafe's low-scoring home record against Sevilla's streaky away form before backing the double chance at the Coliseum.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Getafe's low-scoring home record against Sevilla's shaky away form
Getafe's season looks grim on the table - 18th with nine points from ten games - but the underlying pattern is low-scoring rather than battered. In their last five La Liga games (1W-1D-3L) they have scored only twice and conceded nine, and seven of those nine conceded goals came in two games against the two biggest sides they have faced, Barcelona (0-3) and Athletic Club (0-4). Against Rayo Vallecano and Malaga, closer to Getafe's own level, the games were single-goal, 1-1 or 1-0 affairs.
Sevilla, sixth with 17 points from ten, have been solid at home (a 2-0 win over Osasuna last time out) but much less convincing on the road: two defeats in their last five league games away from the Sanchez-Pizjuan, a 4-1 loss at Real Madrid and a 3-3 draw at Levante, alongside wins at Deportivo and Valencia earlier in the run. Across their last five La Liga matches (2W-1D-2L) they have scored eight and conceded ten - hardly the record of a side about to steamroller a mid-table home team.
Getafe have not lost outright to a side outside the division's elite this season, and Sevilla's away form has been streaky rather than dominant. A repeat of the kind of tight, low-scoring game Getafe play against teams closer to their level - with Sevilla good enough to get something from it - fits both sides' recent patterns better than backing either team outright.
We could not confirm either manager's starting XI at the time of writing. The pick is Getafe or draw (double chance) at 1.50.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Getafe La Liga position18th, 9 pts from 10 games
- Sevilla La Liga position6th, 17 pts from 10 games
- Getafe goals for/against, last 5 La Liga2 for, 9 against
- Sevilla goals for/against, last 5 La Liga8 for, 10 against
- Getafe La Liga defeats this seasonOnly to Barcelona (0-3) and Athletic Club (0-4)
Team news
We have not found confirmed starting line-ups for either side at the time of writing.
Sevilla have scored in eight of their last ten league games and have the quality to win this outright if their front line clicks; a repeat of the 4-1 beating they put on a weaker side earlier in October would lose this bet.
Verdict
At 1.50, Getafe or draw implies a 67% chance. Getafe have lost outright in La Liga this season only to Barcelona and Athletic Club - sides well above Sevilla's current sixth-place form - while drawing or edging games against teams closer to their own level. Sevilla's away form (2W-1D-2L in their last five, conceding ten) does not look like the form of a side about to end that run.
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