Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction and Tips: Corners
Nadia Ferreira looks past the Carabao Cup scoreline to the corner count as Newcastle visit the Hill Dickinson Stadium.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Four games, four corner counts above the line
Everton's home Carabao Cup tie against Newcastle United arrives on the back of a flat week: a 2-0 defeat at Arsenal in the league leaves David Moyes' side ninth in the Premier League on 10 points from eight games, though their only previous tie in this competition was a comfortable 1-0 win over Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Newcastle, fourteenth in the league on 8 points from seven games, won away at Millwall in an earlier round of this competition and arrive at the Hill Dickinson Stadium looking to reach the quarter-finals.
Corners are the more interesting market here than the result. Everton's last two home league games produced 12 and 8 corners respectively (against Chelsea and Ipswich Town), and Newcastle's last two away league trips produced 10 and 16 (at Leeds United and at Tottenham Hotspur) - four games, all of them with eight corners or more, three of the four comfortably clear of ten.
No team news has been confirmed for either side, and cup rotation on a Thursday night is a real possibility for both squads, which is why this is a cut-stake pick rather than a confident one. Over 9.5 total corners is priced at 1.68, and with the sample above consistently landing above that line, it is worth a small bet at 0.5 units.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Everton Premier League record (8 games)2W-4D-2L, 10 pts (9th)
- Newcastle Premier League record (7 games)2W-2D-3L, 8 pts (14th)
- Everton's last 2 home league games - corners12 (vs Chelsea), 8 (vs Ipswich Town)
- Newcastle's last 2 away league games - corners10 (at Leeds United), 16 (at Tottenham Hotspur)
- Everton's only previous Carabao Cup tie1-0 home win vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Newcastle's Carabao Cup run1-0 away win at Millwall
Team news
Neither club has confirmed a starting line-up for this fourth-round tie. Both have continental football in the same week, so some rotation is likely on both sides, which this stake size already accounts for.
<p>Carabao Cup fourth-round ties often see weakened teams, and a more cautious or more one-sided game than either side's league matches could easily produce fewer corners than the sample above suggests. This is a small four-game sample, not Nadia's full ten-game method, which is the main reason the stake is cut to 0.5 units.</p>
Verdict
Four recent venue-specific matches - two Everton home league games, two Newcastle away league games - have all finished with eight corners or more, most of them clear of ten. Over 9.5 total corners at 1.68 looks worth backing at a reduced 0.5 units given the cup-rotation risk.
- ESPN Premier League standings - league positions
- ESPN: Everton 0-2 Chelsea and Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle - corner boxscores
- Kambi/Unibet UK odds feed - 1X2 and total corners prices
Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.
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