Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Prediction and Tips: Result

Palace's home slump against Forest's away form

Crystal Palace sit 15th in the Premier League on 4 points from five games (1W-1D-3L), and the underlying numbers at Selhurst Park are worse than the table suggests. Of their two home league games so far this season, they have lost both: 1-4 against Manchester City and 2-3 against Ipswich Town, conceding seven goals in those two matches alone.

Nottingham Forest are only two places and one point better off at 13th on 5 points (1W-2D-2L), but their form has leaned the other way. Both their away league points this season have come on the road - a 2-2 draw at Liverpool and, more tellingly, a 2-1 win at Aston Villa - and their only two defeats have both come at the City Ground.

The betting market has picked up on this: Forest are priced as the narrow favourites in the 1X2 market (2.63) despite playing away, with Palace at 2.65 and the draw at 3.40. That is an unusually flat market for a home side playing a mid-table away team, and it matches what the form lines say - neither side is good enough to be backed outright, and Palace's home record this season gives no reason to lean their way.

We could not find a confirmed team news update from either club at the time of writing, two days out, so this is based on recent patterns rather than the eleven that will actually start.

Given Forest's superior away form and Palace's winless record at Selhurst Park, the draw no bet line on Forest gets the stake back if the game is level and only loses if Palace actually win at home - something they have not done in the league since the opening weekend. Nottingham Forest draw no bet at 1.83.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Crystal Palace home PL results this seasonL 1-4 vs Man City, L 2-3 vs Ipswich Town
• Nottingham Forest away PL results this seasonD 2-2 at Liverpool, W 2-1 at Aston Villa
• League positionsPalace 15th (4 pts) vs Forest 13th (5 pts)
• Forest draw no bet implied probability @1.8354.6%

Team news

No confirmed team news or injury list was available from either club two days out from kick-off. Check the official line-ups nearer kick-off before betting.

Verdict

Nottingham Forest draw no bet at 1.83 implies a 54.6% chance Forest avoid defeat. Given Forest's unbeaten away record this season against Palace's winless home record, we make that a little higher - enough for 0.75 units rather than a full stake, since this remains a genuinely close match on paper.