Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction and Tips: Goals

Two defences that keep conceding

Chelsea have conceded 12 goals in their last five Premier League games, a rate of 2.4 a match, including a 4-3 win over Brighton and a 2-2 draw with Hull City where they led and were pulled back twice. Both teams scored in four of those five games, the only exception a 3-0 defeat at Brentford where Chelsea never got going.

Bournemouth have scored six goals in their own last five league games - only 1.2 a match - but they have found the net against Manchester City, Newcastle and Brentford, and both teams scored in four of their five games too. Their only blank came in a 0-1 home defeat to Liverpool.

Put a leaky Chelsea defence against a Bournemouth side that keeps finding a goal even when they're not winning, and both teams to score looks the shortest route to the right side of this. The pick is both teams to score at 1.54.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Chelsea BTTS rate, last 5 PL games4 of 5
• Bournemouth BTTS rate, last 5 PL games4 of 5
• Chelsea goals conceded, last 5 PL games12 (2.4 per game)
• Bournemouth goals scored, last 5 PL games6 (1.2 per game)

Team news

No confirmed starting line-ups were available this far from kick-off. This is built on recent team-level scoring and conceding data rather than a specific team-news angle.

Verdict

Both teams to score at 1.54 implies a 64.9% chance. Chelsea's defensive record (12 conceded in five) combined with Bournemouth's habit of scoring against bigger sides gives this a solid foundation, even though neither team has had a settled start to the season.