Brighton vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Tips: Result

Brighton's home form against a stretched Palace defence

Brighton have been excellent at home this season: wins over Arsenal (3-0) and Aston Villa (4-0) either side of a 1-1 draw with Leeds, for eight goals scored and just one conceded in three games at the Amex. The shot numbers support the eye test — 13, 17 and 22 attempts in their last three league matches, roughly five more per game than their opponents have managed against them.

Crystal Palace's away form is more mixed: a 3-2 win at Fulham sits alongside defeats at Everton (0-2) and Manchester City (1-4) and a goalless draw at Leeds, for four goals scored and eight conceded in four league games on the road. They sit 12th with 7 points from 6, well adrift of Brighton's 13 from the same number of games. Palace have shown they can get a result away from home, as Fulham found out, so this is not a formality, but the underlying numbers on both sides of the pitch point the same way.

With Brighton's home form, their goal difference and their shot output all pointing one way, Brighton to win at 1.55 is the pick, for 1 unit.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Brighton home record, 2026-27 PLW-D-W (GF8 GA1)
• Crystal Palace away record, 2026-27 PLL-D-W-L (GF4 GA8)
• Brighton shots, last 3 PL games13, 17, 22
• Crystal Palace shots, last 3 PL games13, 12, 11

Team news

No confirmed line-ups four days out for either club. We did not find fresh injury news for either side this week beyond what was already public; treat both as provisional until closer to kick-off.

Verdict

Brighton to win at 1.55 implies a 64.5% chance. Brighton have won two and drawn one of three home league games this season, scoring eight and conceding just one; Crystal Palace have shipped eight goals in four away league games and sit 12th. Brighton have also out-shot opponents by roughly five attempts a game across their last three matches. We make Brighton's winning chance at least in line with the market price here. 1 unit.