Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden Prediction and Tips: Corners

A low-corner group at the top of B4

This is effectively top-of-the-table business in Group B4: Sweden lead on 6 points from two wins, Bosnia-Herzegovina are second on 4 after a win and a draw, and Zenica hosts the pair's first meeting of the campaign.

Neither side has been a corner machine so far. Bosnia-Herzegovina won exactly 3 corners in their 0-0 draw with Poland and exactly 3 again in their 4-2 win over Romania. Sweden won 4 in their 3-1 win over Poland and 3 in their 2-1 win over Romania. Add the four Group B4 matches played so far and the totals read 8, 6, 7 and 3 - never once close to double figures.

We haven't been able to confirm either manager's starting wide players for this one, which matters for a corners read: a winger or wing-back coming back into the side can move a team's count noticeably. There is also an unresolved fitness question around Sweden's forward line reported earlier this window that we could not independently confirm applies to this specific matchday - it bears more on goals than corners, but it is a gap in what we know.

The market's total corners line sits at 9.5 (1.62 under, 2.14 over), pricing the game close to 9 - well above anything either side has produced in two games each. Under 9.5 total corners at 1.62, 1 unit, confidence 3/5; both stake and confidence held back a notch because the sample is only two games per side.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Total corners, 4 Group B4 games so far8, 6, 7, 3
• Bosnia-Herzegovina corners, 2 NL games3 and 3
• Sweden corners, 2 NL games4 and 3
• Market's implied fair total corners line~9

Team news

We could not confirm either side's starting wide players or full-backs for this fixture. An earlier report in this window flagged a fitness question around a Sweden forward that we were unable to independently verify applies here; we are not building the tip around it either way, since it bears on goals more than corners.

Verdict

At 1.62, under 9.5 corners implies a 61.7% chance. Four Group B4 matches have produced 8, 6, 7 and 3 corners - an average well short of the market's implied fair total near 9 - so the number looks beatable even allowing for a small sample.