Barcelona vs Getafe Prediction and Tips: Goals

Seven wins, 31 goals, and a visitor who rarely scores

Barcelona have not lost a La Liga game yet this season. Seven played, seven won, 31 goals scored – that is 4.4 goals a game from a team that has barely had to defend. Only twice have they failed to hit the over here: a 2-0 at home to Athletic Club and a tight night at Levante aside, every other league game has produced four or more.

Getafe are the opposite number. Under their current setup they have taken 8 points from a possible 21, built on a defence that rarely leaks more than one or two, and an attack that has scored just 4 times in 7 matches – blanking three times already. They do not get run over so much as ground down; their last three away league games finished 1-0, 1-1 and 1-0.

The question for this match total is whether Getafe's containment plan survives 90 minutes at the Spotify Camp Nou against a side averaging better than four and a half goals at home. Five of Barcelona's seven league games have gone over 3.5 goals outright – they do not need Getafe to be open, they just need their own usual service. The market price of 1.91 implies a 52% chance of that; the season so far says it is closer to 70%.

The pick: Barcelona over 3.5 goals at 1.91.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Barcelona La Liga record7W-0D-0L, 21 pts
• Barcelona goals scored (7 games)31 (4.4/game)
• Barcelona games over 3.5 goals5 of 7
• Getafe goals scored (7 games)4 (0.6/game)
• Getafe games without scoring3 of 7
• Getafe La Liga record2W-2D-3L, 8 pts

Team news

We have not been able to confirm either side's starting XI this far out – Barcelona's front line has been settled all season and Getafe have rotated little, but this is worth a final check closer to kick-off.

Verdict

Over 3.5 goals at 1.91 implies a 52.4% chance of Barcelona passing 3.5 on their own. Barcelona have done that in 5 of 7 league outings this season while scoring 31 in total. 1 unit.