Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction and Tips: Players

Kane's minutes and his recent scoring rate

Harry Kane has started and played the full match in each of Bayern Munich's last five fixtures across the Bundesliga and the Champions League, with no rotation and no sign of a knock. He is still Bayern's first-choice penalty taker and the focal point of their attack.

Over those five matches he has scored in three: two against RB Leipzig, one in the 3-3 draw at Viking FK, and one in the win at SC Freiburg, with blanks against FC Augsburg and Arsenal. That is a scoring rate of three from his last five appearances, in a Bayern side that has scored 23 goals across the same run and shown no sign of easing off - this is still a front line getting plenty of service.

At 1.85, the market is pricing Kane's anytime chance at roughly 54%, slightly below his recent scoring rate, in a fixture where Bayern are likely to have more of the ball and more final-third possessions than most of Atlético's visitors this season.

No confirmed starting eleven is out this far from kick-off, so this is built on his last five appearances rather than a locked-in team sheet - worth a last check nearer kick-off that he is rested given Bayern's fixture schedule. On his recent minutes and scoring volume, back Harry Kane to score anytime.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Kane appearances, last 55
• Kane goals, last 54
• Kane games scored in, last 53 of 5
• Bayern team goals, same 5 games23

Team news

No confirmed starting eleven for Bayern six days out. Kane has shown no fitness concerns and has completed 90 minutes in each of his last five appearances.

Verdict

Kane scoring in 3 of his last 5 appearances (60%) against a market-implied 54% at 1.85 is a modest but real gap, in a fixture where Bayern are expected to dominate the ball.