Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Tips: Corners
Nadia Ferreira checks Tottenham's wide-play corner count against Crystal Palace's recent corner concessions ahead of this Premier League fixture at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Both sides are winning - and conceding - plenty of corners
Tottenham have won more corners than they have conceded in five of their last six Premier League games, totalling 40 corners for and 21 against - 6.7 a game at the attacking end. The outlier was an 11-1 corner count in their win over Aston Villa three weekends ago, driven by Spurs' wide forwards repeatedly going at the full-backs, but even the quieter games have produced four or more.
Crystal Palace's recent Premier League matches have been corner-heavy at both ends: 26 for and 27 against across their last five, for a combined total of 10.6 corners a game whenever they've played. That includes conceding eight corners in two of their last three league matches - at home to Nottingham Forest and away at Brighton - games where Palace were pinned back for long spells without the ball.
Both sides' recent sample points to totals in the 10-11 range rather than single figures, and the bookmaker's 9.5 line looks beatable on the data. Tottenham at home, with width down both flanks, against a Palace side that has shown it can be put under sustained pressure, is a fair match-up for a corners-heavy afternoon. Back Over 9.5 corners.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Tottenham corners for, last 6 PL games40 (6.7/game)
- Tottenham corners against, last 6 PL games21 (3.5/game)
- Crystal Palace corners for, last 5 PL games26 (5.2/game)
- Crystal Palace corners against, last 5 PL games27 (5.4/game)
- Combined match-corner average across these sample games~10.4 per match
Team news
No confirmed team news on the wide players for either side four days out. We found nothing to suggest either side's regular wingers or attacking full-backs are doubtful, but this is worth checking again closer to kick-off.
Palace's away game at Brighton produced only five corners for them, their joint-lowest of the sample, when they sat very deep and limited their own attacking phases almost entirely. If Palace play for a point at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium rather than trying to counter, the total could fall short.
Verdict
Over 9.5 corners at 1.60 implies a 62.5% chance. The combined sample from both sides' recent matches averages just over 10 corners a game, which supports the lean, though the margin over the bookmaker's number is modest rather than large.
- ESPN Tottenham Hotspur schedule - last 6 results and boxscores
- ESPN Crystal Palace schedule - last 5 results and boxscores
- Kambi/Unibet UK odds feed - total corners and full-time prices
Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.
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