CornersLa Liga · Estadio La Cartuja, Sevilla · Sun 11 Oct, 17:30

Real Betis vs Osasuna Prediction and Tips: Corners

Nadia Ferreira checks how few corners Osasuna have been winning lately before pricing the corners line at Estadio La Cartuja.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

Osasuna's corner count

Real Betis are third in LaLiga on 16 points from seven games (5W-1D-1L) and are currently playing their home fixtures at Estadio La Cartuja. They are comfortably the better side technically here against an Osasuna team who sit 13th on 8 points (2W-2D-3L).

This is a tip on Osasuna's own corner count, not the match total. Over their last three league games, Osasuna have won just 3, 0 and 4 corners - an average of 2.3 a game. The 0 came in a 4-0 defeat at Atlético Madrid, an extreme result, but even their two matches since have produced only 3 and 4. A typical top-flight side wins 4-6 corners a game; Osasuna have not reached 4.5 in any of their last three.

We could not confirm Osasuna's starting XI for this match, so there is a chance a more attacking line-up changes the picture, but nothing in their recent games suggests a side generating the width or sustained pressure that produces a flurry of corners.

At 3.5, the market prices Osasuna's corners as close to a coin-flip (Under at 1.81 implies 55.2%). Given they have gone under that mark in two of their last three league games and have not shown the attacking pattern that wins corners, we make the true chance a little higher. Osasuna under 3.5 corners at 1.81, backed at 0.75 units given the small sample.

Form guide

Real BetisLast 3 · league
WWD
Won 4, 4 and 5 corners in their last three league games.
OsasunaLast 3 · league
LLD
Just 3, 0 and 4 corners won in their last three league games - one of the division's lowest counts.

Key numbers

  • Osasuna corners won, last 3 league games3, 0, 4
  • Osasuna average corners won per game, last 32.3
  • Real Betis corners won, last 3 league games4, 4, 5
  • Osasuna under 3.5 corners implied probability @1.8155.2%

Team news

No confirmed starting line-up was available for Osasuna at the time of writing, two days out from kick-off.

The risk

The sample is small - just three matches of corner data - and a more attacking Osasuna line-up, or an early Betis red card that forces Osasuna onto the front foot, would break this. It is backed below a full unit for that reason.

Verdict

Osasuna under 3.5 corners at 1.81 implies a 55.2% chance. They have gone under that mark in two of their last three league games and have shown no sign of the width or pressure that wins corners on the road. We make the true chance a little higher than the market price, enough for 0.75 units given the limited sample.

Our prediction · Team cornersReal Betis vs Osasuna · Sun 17:30 · by Nadia Ferreira
Osasuna under 3.5 corners
Best odds1.81
Stake0.75 units
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 9 Oct, 14:20 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK). Prices move.
Real Betis vs Osasuna · Sun 17:30
Osasuna under 3.5 corners @ 1.81
Odds checked 9 Oct, 14:20 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK). Prices move.
Corners tipsLa LigaReal BetisOsasunaCorners
Nadia Ferreira
Corners specialist · 41% win rate · -4.4 units

Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.

All tips by Nadia →

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