CornersChampions League · Estadio La Cartuja, Seville · Wed 21 Oct, 20:00

Real Betis vs Feyenoord Rotterdam Prediction and Tips: Corners

Nadia Ferreira checks the width and the wingers as Real Betis host Feyenoord in the Champions League — and flags a number that cuts against the obvious angle.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

Corners, wide play, and one conflicting signal

Real Betis have won at least five corners in three of their last five matches across all competitions, including eight against Osasuna and five against FC Porto in this Champions League league phase, both at home. Away from home they have managed only four. They are a wide, attacking side under Manuel Pellegrini and sit third in La Liga.

Feyenoord are top of the Eredivisie and play a similarly expansive game with their full-backs pushed on, but their recent opponents have not won many corners against them: Barcelona managed four, PEC Zwolle five, FC Utrecht three, AZ Alkmaar six and Como just one in their most recent continental outing. That is an average of under four corners a game conceded, which sits awkwardly against the case for backing Betis to clear 4.5 on their own.

Both signals are real, which is why this is a lower-stake pick than usual: Real Betis have the underlying attacking shape to win plenty of corners, and have done so in two of their last three home games (five and eight), playing at the larger Estadio La Cartuja rather than their usual Villamarín. But Feyenoord's record of limiting opposition corners is the one piece of data arguing the other way. The pick is Real Betis over 4.5 corners.

Estadio La Cartuja, Seville
Real Betis's club crestImage: Real Betis club crest, via ESPN

Form guide

Real BetisLast 5 · all competitions
WWDWW
Feyenoord RotterdamLast 5 · all competitions
LWWWW

Key numbers

  • Real Betis corners won, last 5 games (all comps)4, 4, 5, 8, 5
  • Real Betis corners won, last 2 home games8, 5
  • Corners won by Feyenoord's opponents, last 5 games4, 5, 3, 6, 1
  • Feyenoord opponents' average corners conceded3.8 per game

Team news

No line-ups are confirmed yet for Wednesday. Betis have had a full week to prepare; Feyenoord's specific injury news for this fixture has not been confirmed, so treat the team news as unconfirmed on both sides.

The risk

Feyenoord's opponents have managed under four corners a game on average across their last five matches, which is the main argument against this pick - that is why the stake here is cut to half a unit rather than the usual one.

Verdict

At 1.68, Real Betis over 4.5 corners implies a 59.5% chance. Betis's own numbers support that - three of their last five games have gone over that mark, including two of their last three at home. But Feyenoord have been stingy with the corners they concede, averaging under four a game to their recent opponents, which is the number that keeps this from being a full-stake pick. On balance the attacking shape favours Betis enough to take at a reduced stake: the pick is Real Betis over 4.5 corners.

Our prediction · Team cornersReal Betis vs Feyenoord · Wed 20:00 · by Nadia Ferreira
Real Betis over 4.5 corners
Best odds1.68
Stake0.5 units
Confidence 2/5
Odds checked 16 Oct, 14:15 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Real Betis vs Feyenoord · Wed 20:00
Real Betis over 4.5 corners @ 1.68
Odds checked 16 Oct, 14:15 UK (Kambi/Unibet UK)
Corners tipsChampions LeagueReal BetisFeyenoordCorners
Nadia Ferreira
Corners specialist · 39% win rate · -7.9 units

Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.

All tips by Nadia →

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