Marseille vs Olympiacos Prediction and Tips: Corners

Two sides that keep winning their own corners

Olympiacos have made a habit this season of winning corners in bulk. In the last three matches we could verify in full — a 2-1 away win at Levadiakos, a 3-0 home win over Jagiellonia Białystok in their Europa League opener, and a 2-1 home win over OFI Crete — Olympiacos themselves won 9, 13 and 8 corners respectively, with those three matches producing 13, 13 and 10 total corners between both sides.

Marseille's own matches have followed a similar pattern without the extremes: a 1-3 home defeat to Paris Saint-Germain produced 10 corners in total, a 1-1 draw away at Besiktas in their Europa League opener produced 6, and a 0-1 away defeat at Stade Rennais produced 8. Marseille themselves won at least three corners in each of those three games even while losing two of them, which fits a team that keeps the ball and attacks down the flanks regardless of the scoreline.

We only had three matches of verified box-score corner data for each side to work from this run rather than our usual ten-game sample, and we could not confirm either side's starting wingers or full-backs, so the stake here is trimmed rather than backed in full. Marseille sit bottom of Ligue 1 and will have their own crowd pushing them to attack from kick-off, which should help keep their own corner count up regardless of how well Olympiacos defend in behind.

At 1.92, over 9.5 total corners is the pick, backed at a trimmed stake given the smaller-than-usual sample.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Olympiacos corners won, last 3 matches9, 13, 8 (avg 10.0)
• Total match corners in Olympiacos's last 313, 13, 10 (avg 12.0)
• Marseille corners won, last 3 matches3, 3, 5 (avg 3.7)
• Total match corners in Marseille's last 310, 6, 8 (avg 8.0)

Team news

No confirmed line-ups were available this far from kick-off for either side's wide players or full-backs, which matters for a corners tip; this uncertainty is reflected in the trimmed stake rather than a full unit.

Verdict

At 1.92, over 9.5 corners implies a 52% chance. The three-match sample available for each side this run averaged well clear of that line, but it is a smaller sample than usual, which is why the stake has been trimmed rather than backed in full.