Liverpool vs Villarreal Prediction and Tips: Corners
Nadia Ferreira checks how many corners Liverpool have been winning at Anfield, and how many Villarreal concede on the road, ahead of their Champions League meeting.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Anfield's corner counts against Villarreal's leaky away games
Anfield's corner counts against Villarreal's leaky away games
Liverpool are 9th in the Premier League on 9 points from six games (2W-3D-1L) but sit 5th in the Champions League League Phase on 6 points from two wins. Villarreal are 11th in La Liga on 8 points from eight games (2W-2D-4L) and 14th in the League Phase on 3 points from one win and one defeat.
This is a tip on the match total, not either side's own tally. Liverpool's last four home games, across competitions, have produced total corner counts of 11 (vs Manchester City), 14 (vs Tottenham), 12 (vs Atlético Madrid in the Champions League) and 13 (vs Fulham) — every one above 9.5, regardless of whether Liverpool won, drew or lost.
Villarreal's away matches tell the same story from the other side: 16 total corners away at Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League, 12 away at Málaga, and 12 away at Real Madrid. Villarreal are not a side that shuts the game down on the road — they concede corners in bunches even when they take points, as the away win at Málaga shows.
We could not confirm either side's starting line-up this far out from kick-off.
At 1.72, over 9.5 corners is a bet that two sides whose matches reliably produce double-digit corner counts do so again at Anfield. Over 9.5 corners at 1.72, backed at 1 unit.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Liverpool home games, total corners (last 4)11, 14, 12, 13
- Liverpool league position9th Premier League, 9 pts from 6 games
- Villarreal away games, total corners (last 3)16, 12, 12
- Villarreal league position11th La Liga, 8 pts from 8 games
- Over 9.5 corners implied probability @1.7258.1%
Team news
No confirmed starting line-up was available for either side five days out from kick-off.<p>The sample is four and three games respectively, and corner counts are noisy from game to game. Villarreal's recent away corner counts have mostly come against mid-table La Liga sides plus one high-corner Bundesliga away day, so a Villarreal side that sits deep and narrow against a stronger Liverpool team could produce a lower total than the recent run suggests.</p>
Verdict
At 1.72, over 9.5 corners implies a 58.1% chance. Liverpool's last four home games have all finished with more than 9.5 total corners regardless of the scoreline, and Villarreal's last three away trips have done the same, which is the kind of repeated pattern on both sides of the game the corners market is built to find.- Liverpool fixtures and results, ESPN — recent home corner data
- Villarreal fixtures and results, ESPN — recent away corner data
- Premier League standings, ESPN
- La Liga standings, ESPN
- Unibet UK, via the Kambi odds feed — corners market
Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.
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