CornersPremier League · Craven Cottage, London · Sat 17 Oct, 15:00

Fulham vs Hull City Prediction and Tips: Corners

Nadia Ferreira checks the corner counts behind Fulham's bottom-of-the-table form and Hull City's steady away numbers to find where the total corners line sits.

The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓

Two sides whose matches keep producing corners

Fulham are bottom of the Premier League without a win in the league this season, but their matches have still been busy at the corner flag: their last four league games have produced 8, 13, 16 and 7 total corners, an average of 11.0, even while they were losing three of the four. Hull City, eighth in the table and the better-performing of the two newly promoted sides, have been involved in even more: 7, 15, 11 and 13 total corners in their own last four league games, an average of 11.5, including 15 in a 2-1 defeat at Chelsea and 13 in a 2-2 draw at Everton.

Individually, Fulham have won an average of 5.75 corners a game themselves over that stretch and Hull City 5.25, both useful attacking numbers for sides occupying the bottom half of the table. Put the two matches' corner-producing tendencies together and the total corners line on offer here sits below what both sides' own recent matches have actually produced.

We could not confirm either side's starting eleven three days out from kick-off, which matters more for a corners bet than most — a change at full-back or winger can move a team's corner count by a third — but nothing in the team news points to either side changing a system that has been producing plenty of corners regardless of personnel.

At 1.92, over 10.5 corners is the pick, backed at a trimmed stake given how much corner counts can swing from one match to the next.

Fulham club crest
Fulham's club crestImage: Fulham club crest, via ESPN
Craven Cottage, London
Fulham's club crestImage: Fulham club crest, via ESPN

Form guide

FulhamLast 4 · league
Bottom of the table and winless in the league, but their matches have still averaged 11.0 total corners, winning 5.75 a game themselves.
Hull CityLast 4 · league
Averaging 11.5 total corners in their own matches, including 15 in a loss at Chelsea and 13 in a draw at Everton, winning 5.25 a game themselves.

Key numbers

  • Fulham corners won, last 4 league games7, 8, 3, 5 (avg 5.75)
  • Hull City corners won, last 4 league games3, 4, 7, 7 (avg 5.25)
  • Total match corners in Fulham's last 4 league games8, 13, 16, 7 (avg 11.0)
  • Total match corners in Hull City's last 4 league games7, 15, 11, 13 (avg 11.5)
  • League positionFulham 20th (2 pts) vs Hull City 8th (9 pts)
  • Over 10.5 corners implied probability @1.9252.1%

Team news

No confirmed starting line-up was available for either side three days out from kick-off.

The risk

<p>Corner counts are volatile from match to match, and the stake is trimmed to reflect that. Fulham are bottom of the table and could be overrun early; if Hull City score twice quickly and are able to sit on the lead, that tends to reduce total corners rather than add to them, which is the main way this line loses.</p>

Verdict

At 1.92, over 10.5 corners implies a 52.1% chance. Fulham's own league matches have averaged 11.0 total corners and Hull City's have averaged 11.5 over the same four-game stretch, both comfortably above the line being offered here. Over 10.5 corners is the pick.

Our prediction · Total cornersFulham vs Hull City · Sat 15:00 · by Nadia Ferreira
Over 10.5 corners
Best odds1.92
Stake0.75 units
Confidence 3/5
Odds checked 14 Oct, 21:20 UK (Unibet, via Kambi)
Sources
Fulham vs Hull City · Sat 15:00
Over 10.5 corners @ 1.92
Odds checked 14 Oct, 21:20 UK (Unibet, via Kambi)
Corners tipsPremier LeagueFulhamHull CityTotal corners
Nadia Ferreira
Corners specialist · 36% win rate · -8.2 units

Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.

All tips by Nadia →

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