Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Poland Prediction and Tips: Corners

Three games, three corner counts under nine

Bosnia-Herzegovina and Poland drew 0-0 when they met in Group B4 just over a week ago, a game that produced six corners in total - three each. Since then, Bosnia-Herzegovina won 3 corners away in a 4-2 win over Romania (seven in total), and Poland won 4 corners at home in a 3-1 defeat to Sweden (eight in total). None of the three most recent matches involving either side has reached nine corners.

Both teams are averaging 3 to 3.5 corners won per game across their last two Nations League matches, with neither showing the kind of winger-and-overlapping-full-back approach that tends to produce a high corner count. We have not seen confirmed line-ups for wide players three days out, so there is some uncertainty if either manager changes approach, but nothing in the reporting so far suggests either side will play with more width than in their last two games.

The one factor working against an under is game state: Bosnia-Herzegovina are at home and in better form (4 points to Poland's 1), so if Poland sit in and defend a point, Bosnia-Herzegovina could end up camped in the final third late on. Weighed against three straight matches at 6, 7 and 8 corners, the market's 8.5 line still looks set a little high. The pick is under 8.5 corners at 1.81.

Form guide

Key numbers

• Corners when the sides met 8 days ago6 (3 each)
• Bosnia-Herzegovina's corners, last away game (v Romania)3 (7 total)
• Poland's corners, last home game (v Sweden)4 (8 total)
• Highest corner count in either side's last 3 Nations League games8

Team news

No confirmed starting line-ups for either side three days out. We have not found reports of injuries to key wide players (wingers or attacking full-backs) for either squad at time of writing.

Verdict

Under 8.5 corners at 1.81 implies a 55% chance. The last three matches involving either side produced 6, 7 and 8 corners - all under the line - which supports a number above the market's.