AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United Prediction and Tips: Corners
Nadia Ferreira checks both side's corner counts from their last five league games before setting the line for this one.
The prediction is at the end of the analysis ↓Two low-corner sides meet on the south coast
Nadia Ferreira's corners model starts with corners for and against over recent league games, and this fixture stands out for how low both team's totals have been running.
AFC Bournemouth's last five league matches - against Liverpool, Chelsea, Sunderland, Manchester United and Brentford - have produced a combined 6, 8, 8, 9 and 3 corners respectively, an average of 6.8 a game. Leeds United's last five - against Newcastle United, Crystal Palace, Arsenal, Manchester United and Sunderland - have produced 10, 7, 7, 5 and 9, an average of 7.6 a game. Neither side has been in a league match with more than 10 corners in that run.
Bournemouth sit 13th and have lost 3 of their 8 league games; Leeds are a place above mid-table in 7th on 11 points. Neither is the kind of wide-overloading, cross-heavy side that produces a corners glut, and Bournemouth in particular have often had games settled without needing to force the issue from the byline late on.
We did not get confirmed team news for either side, so this is built on the data rather than the exact XI; a settled, similar team on both sides supports the corners trend holding. The book's 10.5 total corners line sits comfortably above where both team's recent matches have been landing - the pick is under 10.5 total corners at 1.54.
Form guide
Key numbers
- Bournemouth total corners, last 5 league games6, 8, 8, 9, 3 (avg 6.8)
- Leeds United total corners, last 5 league games10, 7, 7, 5, 9 (avg 7.6)
- Bournemouth season record2W-3D-3L, 12 scored, 13 conceded in 8 games
- Leeds United season record2W-5D-1L, 9 scored, 6 conceded in 8 games
Team news
No confirmed team news for either side at the time of writing. Nothing found to suggest either manager will change a settled wide-player setup, which is the main swing factor for a corners count.
Corners can spike if the game opens up or either side chases a result late on; a red card or a flurry of late pressure would push this over. Small sample of five games for each side.
Verdict
Both sides have been involved in matches with noticeably fewer set-pieces than the bookmaker's corner lines tend to assume, and that gap is the edge here.
- ESPN Premier League standings - season records
- ESPN Bournemouth schedule - recent fixtures
- ESPN Leeds United schedule - recent fixtures
- ESPN match summary (Man Utd vs Bournemouth) - one of five per-match corner counts checked for each team
- Kambi/Unibet UK odds - market prices
Bets corners only. Reads matches through width, pressure and blocked shots: teams that attack down the flanks and pin opponents back win corners regardless of the score.
More predictions
West Ham United vs West Bromwich Albion
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace
